2026 Cognizant Classic in Palm Beach

// BETTING PREVIEW - FEBRUARY 26 - MARCH 01

Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches

February 26 - March 01, 2026 | Palm Beach Gardens, Florida
COSMOS Golf
PGA National Resort (The Champion)
Parbeh
Parbeh
  • Win:TBD
  • Top 5:TBD
  • Top 10:TBD
Miller
Miller
  • Win:TBD
  • Top 5:TBD
  • Top 10:TBD
Kevin
Kevin
  • Win:TBD
  • Top 5:TBD
  • Top 10:TBD
Andrew
Andrew
  • Win:TBD
  • Top 5:TBD
  • Top 10:TBD
Kcon
Kcon
  • Win:TBD
  • Top 5:TBD
  • Top 10:TBD
The Cognizant Classic field presents intriguing value opportunities with several players showing stronger profiles than their odds suggest. Ryan Gerard leads the favorites at +1709 with solid course history including a 4th place finish in 2023, while Shane Lowry at +2232 brings exceptional course form with back-to-back top-5 finishes in 2023-2024. Max McGreevy stands out as a potential value play at +4276, bouncing back from early struggles with a strong T4 finish in 2025 after missing the cut in 2023.
Gerard's Course Mastery Continues
Ryan Gerard sits atop the betting board at +1709 with strong course history, posting a 4th place finish in 2023 and a respectable T25 in 2025. His consistent performance at this venue makes him a solid favorite play.
Ryan Gerard
Lowry's Remarkable Course Consistency
Shane Lowry has been money at this event with a T5 in 2023 and T4 in 2024, showing elite course fit. At +2232, he offers strong value given his proven track record here.
Shane Lowry
McGreevy's Redemption Story Brewing
Max McGreevy bounced back dramatically from a 2023 MC to post a T4 finish in 2025, suggesting he's figured out this course. At +4276, he presents excellent value for his recent form.
Max McGreevy
Hojgaard Brothers' Concerning Pattern
Both Nicolai (+2474) and Rasmus Hojgaard (+2862) missed the cut in 2024 before improving to T18 finishes in 2025. Their inconsistent course history makes them risky plays despite favorable odds.
Nicolai Hojgaard Rasmus Hojgaard
Thompson's Troubling Course Record
Davis Thompson has struggled mightily at this venue with a MC in 2023, T47 in 2024, and another MC in 2025. His +4613 odds don't adequately reflect his poor course fit.
Davis Thompson
Berger's Mixed Course Signals
Daniel Berger missed the cut in 2024 but rebounded to a T25 finish in 2025, showing potential course improvement. At +4904, he could offer sneaky value if the upward trend continues.
Daniel Berger
Thorbjornsen's Debut Performance
Michael Thorbjornsen posted a solid T39 in his 2025 debut at this event. At +3292, his lack of extensive course history makes him a risky but potentially rewarding play.
Michael Thorbjornsen
Mitchell's Unknown Course Equation
Keith Mitchell enters at +3491 with no recent course history data available, making him a complete wildcard. His odds suggest bookmakers see potential, but lack of course knowledge is concerning.
Keith Mitchell

Complete Betting Board

👆 Click any player row for history, odds, recent form, strokes gained.
# Player Why They Could Win Win Odds GolfData API
1
Ryan Gerard
USA - OWGR #30
CONTENDER
Gerard arrives red-hot after a stunning T2 finish at the American Express, showing the form that previously delivered a stellar 4th place finish here in 2023. His world ranking of 30th reflects consistent quality, and last year's T25 proves he understands what this track demands. When Gerard's iron play is dialed in, he can compete with anyone in the field.
+1709
Tournament History & Odds
2025T25
2024NA
20234
Win+1709
Top 5+429
Top 10+227
Recent Form
The Genesis Invitational (Feb 2026): T28 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T45 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T11 • American Express (Jan 2026): T2
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.50
🏌️ Approach+0.82
Around Green+0.08
🕳️ Putting-0.08
Model Predictions
Win Probability
5.1%
Top 10 Probability
29.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.08
Course History+0.04
2
Shane Lowry
IE - OWGR #26
VALUE
The Irishman boasts exceptional course history with three consecutive top-11 finishes, including a T4 in 2024 and T5 in 2023. Lowry's methodical approach and elite short game perfectly match this venue's demands, while his world ranking of 26th confirms he remains among the sport's most consistent performers. His track record here suggests another strong showing is highly likely.
+2232
Tournament History & Odds
2025T11
2024T4
2023T5
Win+2232
Top 5+508
Top 10+263
Recent Form
The Genesis Invitational (Feb 2026): T24 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T8
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.14
🏌️ Approach+0.85
Around Green-0.07
🕳️ Putting+0.11
Model Predictions
Win Probability
4.9%
Top 10 Probability
29.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.06
Course History+0.08
3
Nicolai Hojgaard
DEN - OWGR #81
VALUE
Despite his world ranking of 81st, Hojgaard enters with blazing form that includes a 3rd at Abu Dhabi HSBC and runner-up at the Betfred British Masters. His T18 here last year shows improvement from a 2024 missed cut, and his recent European success demonstrates the confidence needed to break through. The Dane's ascending trajectory makes him a dangerous value play.
+2474
Tournament History & Odds
2025T18
2024MC
2023NA
Win+2474
Top 5+594
Top 10+310
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T3 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T22 • Baycurrent Classic (Oct 2025): T14 • Abu Dhabi HSBC (Jan 2025): 3rd • Betfred British Masters: 2nd • The Open Championship (Jul 2025): T14 • Genesis Scottish Open (Jul 2025): T4
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.55
🏌️ Approach+0.51
Around Green-0.08
🕳️ Putting+0.11
Model Predictions
Win Probability
4.0%
Top 10 Probability
25.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History-0.01
4
Rasmus Hojgaard
DEN - OWGR #40
VALUE
The twin brother brings solid world ranking credentials at 40th and showed progress with last year's T18 after missing the cut in 2024. His recent T8 at Nedbank and T15 at DP World Tour Championship demonstrate consistent quality heading into the new season. Rasmus possesses the ball-striking precision to excel on this demanding layout.
+2862
Tournament History & Odds
2025T18
2024MC
2023NA
Win+2862
Top 5+698
Top 10+362
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T24 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T30 • American Express (Jan 2026): T44 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T29 • Nedbank Golf Challenge (Nov 2025): T8 • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 2025): T15
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.38
🏌️ Approach+0.16
Around Green-0.04
🕳️ Putting+0.47
Model Predictions
Win Probability
3.1%
Top 10 Probability
20.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History-0.01
5
Michael Thorbjornsen
USA - OWGR #72
VALUE
The rising American improved significantly from his T39 debut here last year, suggesting he's learning what this course requires. At world No. 72, Thorbjornsen represents the new generation of talented ball-strikers who can capitalize when conditions favor precision over power. His upward trajectory makes him an intriguing longshot with legitimate upside.
+3292
Tournament History & Odds
2025T39
2024NA
2023NA
Win+3292
Top 5+747
Top 10+388
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T78 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T3 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T18 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.62
🏌️ Approach+0.29
Around Green-0.01
🕳️ Putting-0.07
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.6%
Top 10 Probability
19.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.03
Course History+0.01
6
Keith Mitchell
USA - OWGR #-
VALUE
Mitchell returns to a venue where his aggressive style and strong iron play have historically found success on similar Florida layouts. The veteran possesses the experience and course management skills to navigate challenging conditions that often separate contenders from pretenders. His recent T23 at RSM Classic showed flashes of the form that can produce low scores.
+3491
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+3491
Top 5+762
Top 10+391
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T52 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T41 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T11 • American Express (Jan 2026): T44 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T23 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): MC • Sanderson Farms Championship (Oct 2025): T34
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.57
🏌️ Approach+0.31
Around Green-0.04
🕳️ Putting-0.14
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.9%
Top 10 Probability
20.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.00
Course History+0.04
7
Max McGreevy
USA - OWGR #70
VALUE
McGreevy arrives with tremendous momentum after his breakthrough T4 finish here last year, proving he has the game to contend at this venue. His world ranking of 70th reflects steady improvement, and his T27 at the American Express shows he's carrying solid form into this week. The confidence from last year's near-miss could fuel an even better performance.
+4276
Tournament History & Odds
2025T4
2024NA
2023MC
Win+4276
Top 5+889
Top 10+439
Recent Form
The Genesis Invitational (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T29 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T48 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T30 • American Express (Jan 2026): T27
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.48
🏌️ Approach+0.33
Around Green+0.05
🕳️ Putting-0.06
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.5%
Top 10 Probability
19.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.07
Course History+0.00
8
Davis Thompson
USA - OWGR #98
VALUE
Thompson faces an uphill battle after missing cuts here in 2025 and 2023, suggesting this track doesn't naturally suit his aggressive style. However, his world ranking of 98th indicates he's capable of breaking through when everything clicks. His T30 at RSM Classic showed glimpses of the form needed to reverse his fortunes at this venue.
+4613
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T47
2023MC
Win+4613
Top 5+969
Top 10+487
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T64 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T43 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T65 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T30 • Houston Open (Oct 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.47
🏌️ Approach+0.38
Around Green+0.08
🕳️ Putting-0.15
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.2%
Top 10 Probability
18.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History-0.01
9
Alex Smalley
USA - OWGR #-
VALUE
Smalley makes his debut at this venue with the freedom that comes from low expectations and long odds. His recent T44 at the American Express demonstrated solid ball-striking that could translate well to this demanding layout. Without course history to create mental pressure, he can play aggressively and potentially surprise.
+4867
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+4867
Top 5+1013
Top 10+504
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T19 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T35 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T44
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.41
🏌️ Approach+0.18
Around Green+0.01
🕳️ Putting+0.03
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.0%
Top 10 Probability
16.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History+0.00
10
Daniel Berger
USA - OWGR #53
VALUE
Berger enters with encouraging momentum after his T6 at Sony Open and T8 at Hero World Challenge, showing his game is rounding into form. His T25 here last year was a solid foundation, and at world No. 53, he possesses the talent to climb much higher when healthy. The former multiple PGA Tour winner knows how to close when in contention.
+4904
Tournament History & Odds
2025T25
2024MC
2023NA
Win+4904
Top 5+1004
Top 10+494
Recent Form
The Genesis Invitational (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T75 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T16 • American Express (Jan 2026): T56 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T6 • Hero World Challenge (Dec 2025): T8 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.43
🏌️ Approach+0.46
Around Green-0.18
🕳️ Putting-0.18
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.9%
Top 10 Probability
16.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History+0.06
11
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
DEN - OWGR #47
LONGSHOT
The Danish sensation arrives with incredible momentum after a stunning runner-up finish in his PGA Tour debut at the Puerto Rico Open, where he set a 36-hole record. His Challenge Tour dominance in 2024 included three wins and perfectly translates to PGA Tour conditions, while his precise ball-striking gives him the tools to score on demanding layouts. At just 47th in the world rankings, he represents exceptional value for a player with this caliber of recent form.
+5046
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+5046
Top 5+1012
Top 10+503
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T41 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T49 • Puerto Rico Open (Mar 2025): 2nd (set 36-hole record in PGA Tour debut) • Qatar Masters (Feb 2025): 2nd • Won 3x on Challenge Tour in 2024 • Earned PGA Tour card via Race to Dubai
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.49
🏌️ Approach+0.43
Around Green-0.07
🕳️ Putting-0.07
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.7%
Top 10 Probability
15.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History
12
Rico Hoey
USA - OWGR #71
LONGSHOT
The Hawaiian brings positive course history with a solid T25 finish here in 2025, showing he understands how to navigate this layout effectively. His recent runner-up at the BoU Championship demonstrates he's finding form at the right time, while his power game suits courses that reward aggressive play. Coming off that strong showing, he has the momentum and course knowledge to make a serious run.
+5305
Tournament History & Odds
2025T25
2024T56
2023NA
Win+5305
Top 5+1073
Top 10+530
Recent Form
The Genesis Invitational (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T67 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T24 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T70 • American Express (Jan 2026): WD • Golf: Rico Hoey claims 2nd place at BoU Championship
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.55
🏌️ Approach+0.55
Around Green-0.14
🕳️ Putting-0.44
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.0%
Top 10 Probability
16.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History+0.02
13
Will Zalatoris
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The former major contender is showing signs of his old form with four consecutive top-25 finishes including a strong T8 at the RSM Classic. His elite iron play and putting improvements have been evident in recent starts, particularly his T18 at the American Express where he gained strokes on approach. When healthy and confident, Zalatoris possesses the precision and mental toughness to contend at any venue.
+5430
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+5430
Top 5+1137
Top 10+563
Recent Form
Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T18 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T21 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T8 • Houston Open (Oct 2025): T15
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.31
🏌️ Approach+0.54
Around Green+0.05
🕳️ Putting-0.23
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.8%
Top 10 Probability
14.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History
14
Mac Meissner
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The young American has been grinding to establish himself on tour and possesses the ball-striking ability to compete with anyone on his day. His methodical approach and strong short game make him well-suited for courses that demand precision over power. While recent results haven't been spectacular, his talent level suggests a breakthrough performance could come at any time.
+5936
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+5936
Top 5+1136
Top 10+544
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T18 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T49 • American Express (Jan 2026): T63
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.14
🏌️ Approach+0.32
Around Green+0.15
🕳️ Putting+0.11
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.9%
Top 10 Probability
16.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History-0.02
15
Michael Brennan
USA - OWGR #34
LONGSHOT
Ranked 34th in the world, Brennan brings legitimate star power and the game to compete at the highest level. His consistent ball-striking and improved putting have been hallmarks of his recent success on tour. With no course history to lean on, he'll rely on his natural talent and ability to adapt quickly to new challenges.
+6060
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+6060
Top 5+1255
Top 10+636
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T48 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): DQ • American Express (Jan 2026): T56
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee
🏌️ Approach
Around Green
🕳️ Putting
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.5%
Top 10 Probability
13.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.04
Course History
16
Johnny Keefer
US - OWGR #46
LONGSHOT
The 46th-ranked player in the world represents serious credentials despite longer betting odds, suggesting potential value in the market. His well-rounded game and proven ability to perform under pressure make him a threat on any course layout. Without recent form to evaluate, his world ranking and tour status indicate he has the skills to compete with the field's elite players.
+6183
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+6183
Top 5+1225
Top 10+615
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T41 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T43
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee
🏌️ Approach
Around Green
🕳️ Putting
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.6%
Top 10 Probability
14.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.01
Course History
17
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
RSA - OWGR #82
LONGSHOT
The South African showed positive course familiarity with T42 finishes in 2025 and 2023, proving he can score on this layout when his game is sharp. His recent strong run includes a T15 at the Sony Open and impressive showings in premium events like the Hero World Challenge (T8). Known for his steady iron play and clutch putting, Bezuidenhout thrives when he gets into contention.
+6649
Tournament History & Odds
2025T42
2024MC
2023T42
Win+6649
Top 5+1229
Top 10+576
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T27 • American Express (Jan 2026): T38 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T15 • Hero World Challenge (Dec 2025): T8 • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 2025): T6
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee-0.21
🏌️ Approach+0.30
Around Green+0.30
🕳️ Putting+0.35
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
14.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.11
Course History+0.00
18
Thorbjorn Olesen
DEN - OWGR #95
LONGSHOT
Despite two missed cuts at this event, the Danish veteran showed his class with five DP World Tour top-10s in 2025 and a memorable performance at the 3M Open where he led for three rounds. His experience in big moments and proven ability to go low when needed make him dangerous if he finds his rhythm early. The course setup here could favor his attacking style and fearless approach to scoring opportunities.
+6687
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024MC
2023NA
Win+6687
Top 5+1283
Top 10+608
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • 3M Open (Jul 2025): Contended (led 3 rounds, aced par-3 8th) • Valero Texas Open (Apr 2025): T5 • Five top-10s on DP World Tour in 2025
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.19
🏌️ Approach+0.30
Around Green+0.09
🕳️ Putting+0.08
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.4%
Top 10 Probability
13.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History-0.02
19
Kristoffer Reitan
NOR - OWGR #35
LONGSHOT
The Norwegian arrives as one of the hottest players in professional golf with two wins in 2025 including a wire-to-wire victory at the Nedbank Golf Challenge. His incredible scoring ability was on display with a playoff-winning 62 at the Soudal Open and a remarkable 60 in the final round at the Austrian Alpine Open. Ranked 35th in the world and 8th in the Race to Dubai, he brings elite form and confidence to his course debut.
+6885
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+6885
Top 5+1351
Top 10+650
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T41 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T30 • Nedbank Golf Challenge (Dec 2025): Won (wire-to-wire) • Soudal Open (May 2025): Won (playoff, shot 62 in final round) • Austrian Alpine Open (2025): 2nd (shot 60 final round) • 8th in Race to Dubai
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.55
🏌️ Approach-0.06
Around Green-0.22
🕳️ Putting+0.29
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
12.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.00
Course History
20
Haotong Li
CHN - OWGR #86
LONGSHOT
The Chinese star comes in riding excellent momentum with a T8 at the American Express and T15 at the Sony Open, showing his game is rounding into peak form. His consistent performances in elite fields like the Hero World Challenge and DP World Tour Championship demonstrate he raises his level against strong competition. Li's precise approach play and improved putting make him ideally suited for courses that reward accuracy and smart course management.
+7034
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+7034
Top 5+1385
Top 10+663
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T11 • American Express (Jan 2026): T8 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T15 • Hero World Challenge (Dec 2025): 14th • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 2025): T8
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.39
🏌️ Approach+0.31
Around Green-0.13
🕳️ Putting-0.06
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
12.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History
21
Chris Kirk
USA - OWGR #77
LONGSHOT
The 2023 Cognizant Classic champion knows exactly how to navigate this layout, having captured his breakthrough PGA Tour victory here just two years ago. His T28 finish last year proved he can still compete at this venue, and Kirk's steady iron play matches perfectly with what this course demands from tee to green. At 77th in the world rankings, he represents excellent value as a former winner with proven course DNA.
+7155
Tournament History & Odds
2025T56
2024T28
20231
Win+7155
Top 5+1429
Top 10+679
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T52 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T23 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T15 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee-0.01
🏌️ Approach+0.39
Around Green+0.01
🕳️ Putting-0.16
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.5%
Top 10 Probability
13.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History+0.06
22
Jordan Smith
ENG - OWGR #91
LONGSHOT
Smith enters with minimal course history but brings excellent recent momentum from his T27 at the American Express, where his iron play looked sharp throughout the weekend. The English golfer's methodical approach and strong ball-striking ability should translate well to this demanding Florida test. His 91st world ranking belies his talent level, making him an intriguing longshot play.
+7409
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+7409
Top 5+1428
Top 10+681
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T16 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T27
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.34
🏌️ Approach+0.30
Around Green-0.09
🕳️ Putting-0.01
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
12.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.03
Course History
23
Nico Echavarria
CO - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The Colombian's explosive length off the tee could provide significant advantages on this layout, especially if conditions firm up during the week. Echavarria has shown flashes of brilliance on the PGA Tour with his aggressive style and fearless putting stroke. Without course history to rely on, his raw talent and improving short game make him a dangerous wildcard at these generous odds.
+7753
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+7753
Top 5+1461
Top 10+700
Recent Form
The Genesis Invitational (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T8 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.11
🏌️ Approach+0.17
Around Green-0.08
🕳️ Putting+0.17
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.4%
Top 10 Probability
13.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.05
Course History-0.00
24
Garrick Higgo
RSA - OWGR #64
LONGSHOT
Higgo arrives red-hot after multiple strong finishes in 2025, including a victory at Corales Puntacana and runner-up at Sanderson Farms, showcasing his explosive scoring ability. His T16 finish here in 2024 demonstrates clear course compatibility, and the South African's aggressive style with both driver and putter can produce fireworks when everything clicks. That career-best 61 at WWT Championship proves he has the low-round potential to contend anywhere.
+7795
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024T16
2023T29
Win+7795
Top 5+1496
Top 10+735
Recent Form
The Genesis Invitational (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T60 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • World Wide Technology Championship (Nov 2025): T4 (shot 61 in R3) • Sanderson Farms Championship (Oct 2025): 2nd • Corales Puntacana Championship (Apr 2025): Won • 5 top-10s in 2025
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.15
🏌️ Approach-0.18
Around Green+-0.00
🕳️ Putting+0.20
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.4%
Top 10 Probability
12.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.02
Course History+0.03
25
Ricky Castillo
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The young American brings raw power and an aggressive mindset that could pay dividends if he can find the right week to put it all together. Castillo's booming drives give him shorter irons into greens, and his fearless approach to golf makes him capable of posting the low numbers needed to compete. At these odds, he represents a pure upside play for bettors looking for a massive payout.
+8019
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+8019
Top 5+1534
Top 10+740
Recent Form
Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T43 • American Express (Jan 2026): T44
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.31
🏌️ Approach-0.04
Around Green+0.07
🕳️ Putting+0.10
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
12.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History-0.00
26
Max Homa
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Despite his current odds reflecting recent struggles, Homa's proven ability to get hot quickly and his exceptional course management skills make him dangerous in any field. The former multiple PGA Tour winner has the iron precision and putting touch that this venue rewards, and his mental approach to golf often leads to strong performances when least expected. His T15 at Sony Open suggests his game is trending in the right direction at the perfect time.
+8187
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+8187
Top 5+1537
Top 10+734
Recent Form
The Genesis Invitational (Feb 2026): T37 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T66 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T27 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T15 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T23 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.06
🏌️ Approach+0.13
Around Green-0.03
🕳️ Putting+0.13
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.2%
Top 10 Probability
11.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History-0.01
27
Mackenzie Hughes
CAN - OWGR #96
LONGSHOT
Hughes brings steady ball-striking and exceptional putting that could be the perfect combination for this week's test, despite missing the cut here in 2025. The Canadian's methodical approach and strong iron play typically shine on courses that reward precision over power. His recent T21 at Sony Open and T15 at RSM Classic demonstrate he's finding form at the right time to potentially break through.
+8199
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024NA
2023NA
Win+8199
Top 5+1521
Top 10+716
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T34 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T28 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T59 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T21 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T15 • Houston Open (Oct 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee-0.11
🏌️ Approach+-0.00
Around Green+0.27
🕳️ Putting+0.13
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.2%
Top 10 Probability
11.9%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History+0.00
28
Aaron Rai
ENG - OWGR #24
LONGSHOT
The 24th-ranked player in the world brings elite ball-striking credentials and recent victory momentum from his Abu Dhabi playoff win over Tommy Fleetwood. Rai's methodical approach and exceptional iron precision are ideally suited for this layout, where accuracy trumps distance. His two wins in recent months, including the Wyndham Championship, prove he has the finishing ability to close when in contention.
+8375
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023MC
Win+8375
Top 5+1444
Top 10+654
Recent Form
The Genesis Invitational (Feb 2026): T28 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T73 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T57 • Abu Dhabi Golf Championship (Nov 2025): Won (playoff vs Fleetwood) • Hero World Challenge (Dec 2025): Competed • Wyndham Championship (Aug 2024): Won
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.08
🏌️ Approach+0.55
Around Green+0.12
🕳️ Putting-0.17
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
14.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.11
Course History-0.03
29
John Parry
ENG - OWGR #80
LONGSHOT
The veteran brings steady, workmanlike golf that often produces consistent results on courses that reward precision and course management over raw power. Parry's reliable iron play and solid putting stroke could be perfectly matched to this venue's demands. At 80th in the world rankings, he represents the type of seasoned professional who can grind out a strong finish when the stars align.
+8672
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+8672
Top 5+1523
Top 10+704
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T35 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T43 • American Express (Jan 2026): T56
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.20
🏌️ Approach+0.40
Around Green-0.01
🕳️ Putting+0.00
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.0%
Top 10 Probability
11.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History
30
Sami Valimaki
FIN - OWGR #39
LONGSHOT
The Finnish golfer's strong world ranking at 39th reflects consistent quality that could translate into a breakthrough week at generous odds. Valimaki's T48 here in 2025 gives him recent course experience, and his ball-striking ability from his European Tour success should serve him well on this layout. His T23 at Sony Open and solid showing at the Hero World Challenge indicate his game is in good shape heading into this week.
+8842
Tournament History & Odds
2025T48
2024MC
2023NA
Win+8842
Top 5+1554
Top 10+723
Recent Form
The Genesis Invitational (Feb 2026): T37 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T34 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T41 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T23 • Hero World Challenge (Dec 2025): 12th • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 2025): T18
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee-0.15
🏌️ Approach+0.25
Around Green-0.04
🕳️ Putting+0.33
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.1%
Top 10 Probability
11.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.06
Course History+0.00
31
Tom Kim
KOR - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The young Korean star is riding serious momentum after his impressive T6 finish at the RSM Classic in November, showing he can contend on challenging layouts. Kim's aggressive style and strong iron play should translate well to this course setup, and at just 22, he has the fearless approach needed to go low when conditions allow. With no significant course history to worry about, he can approach this week with a clean slate and full confidence.
+8896
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+8896
Top 5+1483
Top 10+707
Recent Form
The Genesis Invitational (Feb 2026): T34 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T35 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T65 • American Express (Jan 2026): T38 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T29 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T6 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): T34
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.03
🏌️ Approach+0.14
Around Green+0.18
🕳️ Putting+0.08
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.2%
Top 10 Probability
11.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.07
Course History-0.02
32
Stephan Jaeger
DE - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The German's meticulous approach and elite putting stroke make him ideally suited for this type of precision golf course. Jaeger has built a reputation as one of the tour's most consistent ball-strikers, and his ability to grind out scores even when not firing on all cylinders gives him multiple paths to victory. His steady, methodical style often thrives when others are making mistakes under pressure.
+8896
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+8896
Top 5+1721
Top 10+804
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T67 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T28 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T5 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T15 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T23 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee-0.36
🏌️ Approach
Around Green+0.29
🕳️ Putting+0.29
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.2%
Top 10 Probability
11.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.00
Course History-0.02
33
Jesper Svensson
SWE - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The Swedish golfer brings a European tour pedigree and fresh perspective that could catch the field off guard this week. Svensson's long iron play and course management skills have served him well in similar conditions, and his relative anonymity in this field could work to his advantage. Without the pressure of expectations, he has the game to quietly work his way up the leaderboard.
+9984
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+9984
Top 5+1868
Top 10+896
Recent Form
Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.48
🏌️ Approach+0.04
Around Green-0.11
🕳️ Putting-0.29
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.9%
Top 10 Probability
9.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.05
Course History+0.01
34
Matt Wallace
ENG - OWGR #76
LONGSHOT
Despite recent struggles at this event with consecutive missed cuts, Wallace's T29 finish in 2023 proves he can navigate this course when his game clicks. The fiery Englishman's aggressive approach play and clutch putting under pressure make him dangerous when he finds his rhythm. His mixed international schedule may have him arriving fresher than players grinding week after week on tour.
+10408
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024MC
2023T29
Win+10408
Top 5+1757
Top 10+821
Recent Form
Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 2025): T18 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T34 • Alfred Dunhill Championship (Nov 2025): T12
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee-0.16
🏌️ Approach+0.26
Around Green+0.17
🕳️ Putting+0.04
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.2%
Top 10 Probability
11.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History-0.00
35
Kevin Yu
TPE - OWGR #93
LONGSHOT
Yu's impressive T9 finish at this event in 2024 demonstrates he has the course knowledge and game to compete at the highest level here. The rising star's precise approach play and steady putting stroke are well-matched to what this layout demands from contenders. At world No. 93, he has the ranking and confidence to believe he belongs in the mix come Sunday.
+10445
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024T9
2023NA
Win+10445
Top 5+1798
Top 10+833
Recent Form
The Genesis Invitational (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T70 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): MC • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): MC • Houston Open (Nov 2025): T54
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.32
🏌️ Approach-0.03
Around Green-0.08
🕳️ Putting+0.00
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.0%
Top 10 Probability
11.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.00
Course History+0.02
36
Kris Ventura
NOR - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Ventura's steady ball-striking and improving short game give him the foundation to compete against this field on a course that rewards precision over power. The journeyman's experience in pressure situations and ability to stay patient through four rounds could serve him well if conditions become challenging. His under-the-radar status allows him to play freely without the weight of expectations.
+10595
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+10595
Top 5+1923
Top 10+889
Recent Form
Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T22 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.21
🏌️ Approach-0.13
Around Green-0.07
🕳️ Putting+0.31
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.9%
Top 10 Probability
9.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History-0.01
37
Seamus Power
IRL - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The Irish veteran's reliable iron play and clutch putting have made him a consistent performer in similar field strengths and course setups. Power's experience in grinding out results when not at his absolute best gives him multiple ways to stay in contention throughout the week. His steady demeanor and course management skills often shine when others are pressing too hard.
+10869
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+10869
Top 5+1923
Top 10+874
Recent Form
Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T11 • American Express (Jan 2026): T63 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T23 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T45 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.12
🏌️ Approach+0.08
Around Green+0.09
🕳️ Putting+0.13
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.9%
Top 10 Probability
9.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History-0.05
38
Doug Ghim
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Ghim's textbook swing and analytical approach to course management make him well-suited for this type of strategic layout. The former amateur standout has the precise iron play needed to attack pins and create birdie opportunities in bunches. His steady temperament and ability to avoid big numbers give him the consistency to stay in the hunt.
+10909
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+10909
Top 5+1928
Top 10+896
Recent Form
Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T59 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T23 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T41 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.33
🏌️ Approach+0.24
Around Green+0.04
🕳️ Putting-0.31
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.0%
Top 10 Probability
11.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History-0.01
39
Joel Dahmen
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The popular veteran's crafty course management and clutch short game make him a threat to sneak into contention when least expected. Dahmen's ability to maximize his rounds through smart decision-making and timely putting has produced surprising results throughout his career. His relaxed approach and fan-favorite status could help him stay loose under pressure if he finds himself in the mix.
+11157
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+11157
Top 5+2095
Top 10+962
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T7 • American Express (Jan 2026): T38 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T23 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T41 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.37
🏌️ Approach+0.07
Around Green-0.02
🕳️ Putting-0.19
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.0%
Top 10 Probability
10.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.06
Course History-0.00
40
Zecheng Dou
CHN - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The young Chinese golfer brings international experience and a hunger to prove himself against established PGA Tour competition. Dou's aggressive style and fearless approach to difficult shots could pay dividends if he can find his rhythm early in the week. Without significant course history or pressure, he has the freedom to play his natural game and potentially surprise the field.
+11157
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+11157
Top 5+2054
Top 10+948
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T13 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T49 • American Express (Jan 2026): 73rd
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee
🏌️ Approach
Around Green
🕳️ Putting
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
8.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.04
Course History-0.02
41
Brooks Koepka
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The four-time major champion brings unmatched big-event experience to a field lacking elite star power, and his track record of peaking when it matters most makes him dangerous at any price. Despite struggling on the LIV circuit, Koepka's T12 at the U.S. Open proved he can still compete at the highest level when properly motivated. His power game and clutch putting under pressure give him a significant edge over this weaker field composition.
+11372
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+11372
Top 5+2120
Top 10+1008
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T56 • LIV Golf 2025: Struggled (31st of 54 in season standings) • U.S. Open (Jun 2025): T12 • MC in 3 of 4 majors • Returning to PGA Tour under new program
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.14
🏌️ Approach+0.11
Around Green+-0.00
🕳️ Putting-0.29
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
8.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.04
Course History-0.02
42
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
BEL - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The Belgian ball-striker possesses the type of precise iron play that typically thrives on courses demanding accuracy over distance. His steady approach to tournament golf has produced consistent results when his putter cooperates. Without extensive course history, his technical fundamentals and improving confidence level make him a live longshot in this range.
+11828
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+11828
Top 5+2114
Top 10+991
Recent Form
American Express (Jan 2026): 69th
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.16
🏌️ Approach-0.06
Around Green-0.02
🕳️ Putting+0.07
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
9.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.03
Course History-0.01
43
S.H. Kim
KOR - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Kim's patient, methodical style perfectly matches the strategic demands of this layout, where course management trumps pure power. His strong ball-striking fundamentals have been producing more consistent results lately, building the type of confidence needed for a breakthrough performance. The Korean's clutch putting in pressure situations gives him an edge when tournaments tighten up on Sunday.
+11900
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+11900
Top 5+2067
Top 10+968
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T54 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): 63 • American Express (Jan 2026): T18
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.21
🏌️ Approach-0.39
Around Green+0.07
🕳️ Putting+0.30
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
9.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.03
Course History-0.03
44
Vince Whaley
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Whaley's scrambling ability and short game wizardry make him ideally suited for courses where par saves turn into scoring opportunities. His journeyman experience has taught him how to grind out results when his A-game isn't clicking. The veteran knows how to manage expectations and play within himself when positioned for a career-changing result.
+12070
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+12070
Top 5+2132
Top 10+965
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee-0.27
🏌️ Approach-0.07
Around Green+0.19
🕳️ Putting+0.36
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
10.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.00
Course History+0.01
45
Gary Woodland
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The 2019 U.S. Open champion's power off the tee remains a significant weapon when he can find fairways consistently. Woodland's experience in high-pressure situations and proven ability to close out victories gives him an advantage over less accomplished players in this range. His recent health improvements have allowed him to return to more consistent competitive form.
+12297
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+12297
Top 5+2128
Top 10+1009
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T64 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): 72nd • Sony Open (Jan 2026): MC • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T34 • Houston Open (Oct 2025): T52
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.30
🏌️ Approach-0.06
Around Green-0.32
🕳️ Putting-0.03
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
8.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.04
Course History+0.02
46
Kevin Roy
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Roy's improving iron play and growing Tour experience make him a dangerous floater in fields like this where opportunity meets preparation. His steady temperament and ability to stay patient during difficult stretches has produced several strong finishes recently. The young professional's hunger for a breakthrough result could fuel the type of inspired week that creates longshot winners.
+12322
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+12322
Top 5+2252
Top 10+1027
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T13 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.09
🏌️ Approach-0.15
Around Green+0.06
🕳️ Putting+0.16
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.7%
Top 10 Probability
8.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History+0.01
47
Austin Eckroat
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Eckroat's well-rounded skill set and clutch gene have already produced a PGA Tour victory, proving he can handle the pressure when in contention. His precise approach play and improved putting stroke make him well-suited for courses requiring strategic thinking over raw power. The young Oklahoman's competitive fire and experience closing out tournaments give him an edge over other longshots.
+12887
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+12887
Top 5+2314
Top 10+1064
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T49 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T27 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T34 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): T48
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.17
🏌️ Approach+0.28
Around Green-0.26
🕳️ Putting-0.08
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
9.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History+0.02
48
Dylan Wu
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Wu's exceptional scrambling ability and creative short game make him dangerous on courses where up-and-down skills become crucial for scoring. His Stanford pedigree and analytical approach to course management help him maximize scoring opportunities when conditions get tricky. The Massachusetts native has shown flashes of breakthrough potential that could materialize with improved putting consistency.
+13444
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+13444
Top 5+2289
Top 10+1035
Recent Form
Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T44 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): MC • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T34 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): T52
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.12
🏌️ Approach+0.09
Around Green+0.04
🕳️ Putting-0.02
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
8.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History-0.00
49
Billy Horschel
USA - OWGR #57
LONGSHOT
Horschel brings legitimate course history with a T9 finish in 2024 and solid T25 result in 2025, proving he understands how to attack this layout effectively. His fiery competitive nature and clutch putting stroke have produced multiple PGA Tour victories when he gets hot. The Florida veteran's experience managing expectations and grinding out results makes him a strong value play at these inflated odds.
+14606
Tournament History & Odds
2025T25
2024T9
2023T42
Win+14606
Top 5+2630
Top 10+1162
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T48 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T27 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T32 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T15 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee-0.31
🏌️ Approach-0.04
Around Green+0.09
🕳️ Putting+0.05
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
8.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.00
Course History+0.05
50
Beau Hossler
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Hossler's smooth swing and reliable ball-striking have produced steady results throughout his career, with the type of consistency that can lead to surprise victories. His patient approach and strong course management skills help him avoid the big numbers that derail longshot chances. The Californian's putting improvements have elevated his ceiling significantly when everything clicks together.
+14825
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+14825
Top 5+2600
Top 10+1183
Recent Form
Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T23 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T47 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee-0.25
🏌️ Approach-0.34
Around Green+0.29
🕳️ Putting+0.27
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.7%
Top 10 Probability
8.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.00
Course History+0.04
51
Emiliano Grillo
ARG - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
The Argentine veteran brings a steady all-around game that can thrive on courses demanding precision over power. His experience navigating challenging conditions and ability to grind out solid finishes makes him a viable longshot candidate. At these odds, Grillo's consistency and veteran savvy could pay dividends if the stars align.
+15285
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+15285
Top 5+2502
Top 10+1078
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T64 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T38 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T34 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T18 • Mayakoba Golf Classic (Nov 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.09
🏌️ Approach+0.14
Around Green-0.19
🕳️ Putting+0.06
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
8.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History-0.04
52
Steven Fisk
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Fisk's ball-striking ability and methodical approach to course management can produce unexpected results when everything clicks. His patient style of play suits tournaments where avoiding big numbers becomes crucial down the stretch. The massive odds make him an intriguing lottery ticket for bettors seeking maximum upside.
+15324
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+15324
Top 5+2554
Top 10+1161
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T60 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.02
🏌️ Approach-0.02
Around Green+0.09
🕳️ Putting-0.13
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
8.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.02
Course History+0.00
53
David Ford
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Ford arrives with momentum after a strong T13 finish at the American Express, showcasing the kind of form that can carry over to another week. His ability to post low numbers when his putting heats up makes him dangerous at any venue. The combination of recent success and massive payout potential creates an appealing risk-reward scenario.
+15986
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+15986
Top 5+2868
Top 10+1312
Recent Form
Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T13
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee+0.52
🏌️ Approach-0.07
Around Green-0.19
🕳️ Putting-0.24
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
6.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History
54
Eric Cole
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Cole's reliable iron play and improved putting stroke have helped him become a consistent presence on leaderboards when his game clicks. His workmanlike approach and ability to avoid catastrophic holes can keep him in contention throughout four rounds. The lengthy odds provide excellent value for a player with the skill set to compete at this level.
+16029
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+16029
Top 5+2637
Top 10+1171
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T27 • American Express (Jan 2026): T27 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T34 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T67 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee-0.52
🏌️ Approach+0.21
Around Green+0.15
🕳️ Putting+0.22
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
8.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History+0.00
55
Taylor Moore
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
Moore's recent T15 at the RSM Classic demonstrates his ability to contend when his putting stroke cooperates with his solid ball-striking foundation. His steady approach play and improved short game make him well-suited for courses that reward precision over distance. At these odds, his combination of recent form and technical skills offers intriguing value.
+16429
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+16429
Top 5+2818
Top 10+1254
Recent Form
Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T49 • American Express (Jan 2026): T56 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T23 • RSM Classic (Nov 2025): T15 • Houston Open (Nov 2025): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
🎯 Off-the-Tee-0.01
🏌️ Approach-0.25
Around Green+0.19
🕳️ Putting+0.05
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.7%
Top 10 Probability
8.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.02
Course History-0.02

Round 1 — 3-Balls

Grp Tee Time Hole Player 1 Odds Player 2 Odds Player 3 Odds
2 07:10 1 Brian Harman +103 Matti Schmid +148 Tie +862
3 07:20 1 Ryo Hisatsune -101 Andrew Novak +155 Tie +863
4 07:30 1 Taylor Pendrith +107 Denny McCarthy +143 Tie +852
5 07:40 1 Rickie Fowler -111 Sami Valimaki +168 Tie +889
6 07:50 1 Viktor Hovland +127 Ben Griffin +121 Tie +838
7 08:00 1 Jhonattan Vegas +252 Harris English -163 Tie +932
8 08:10 1 Corey Conners +166 Ryan Gerard -110 Tie +905
9 08:20 1 Nick Taylor +150 Si Woo Kim +102 Tie +852
10 08:30 1 Shane Lowry -103 Patrick Rodgers +156 Tie +882
11 08:45 1 Hideki Matsuyama -134 Max Homa +202 Tie +943
12 08:55 1 Tony Finau +143 Ludvig Aberg +105 Tie +892
13 09:05 1 Sahith Theegala +115 Sam Stevens +132 Tie +862
14 09:15 1 Min Woo Lee -114 Matt McCarty +173 Tie +887
15 09:25 1 Robert MacIntyre -114 Tom Kim +175 Tie +862
16 09:35 1 Matt Fitzpatrick +208 Scottie Scheffler -137 Tie +924
17 09:45 1 Jordan Spieth +122 Wyndham Clark +125 Tie +856
18 09:55 1 Collin Morikawa +107 Pierceson Coody +141 Tie +884
19 10:05 1 Alex Noren +167 Patrick Cantlay -109 Tie +861
20 10:15 1 Akshay Bhatia +148 Cameron Young +101 Tie +895
21 10:30 1 Adam Scott +160 Tommy Fleetwood -105 Tie +878
22 10:40 1 Ryan Fox +169 Jake Knapp -111 Tie +867
23 10:50 1 Marco Penge +136 Max Greyserman +111 Tie +875
24 11:00 1 Xander Schauffele -109 Kurt Kitayama +164 Tie +908
25 11:10 1 Aaron Rai +104 Aldrich Potgieter +146 Tie +870
26 11:20 1 Rory McIlroy -142 Jacob Bridgeman +213 Tie +964
Strokes Gained & Model from Data Golf. Odds from GolfData API.