Subscribe to our Newsletter
Get the weekly Cosmos Research Betting Preview to your mobile. Be the first to know about Cosmos Lab experiments, new collections and special offers.
// BETTING PREVIEW - FEBRUARY 19-22
The Genesis Invitational
February 19-22, 2026 | Pacific Palisades, California
Parbeh
- Win:Knapp+4830
- Top 5:A. Scott+1180
- Top 10:Finau+1246
Miller
- Win:S. Burns+6283
- Top 5:Scheffler+117
- Top 10:Matsuyama+284
Kevin
- Win:Fleetwood+2820
- Top 5:Bridgeman+1939
- Top 10:Hisatsune+1042
Andrew
- Win:Knapp+4830
- Top 5:Fowler+1090
- Top 10:Morikawa+346
Kcon
- Win:Matsuyama+3342
- Top 5:Fleetwood+517
- Top 10:H. English+327
Scottie Scheffler presents exceptional value at +431 odds with an 18.8% model win probability and the #1 strokes gained approach ranking (+1.18) that perfectly matches Riviera's precision demands. The model identifies significant value across the board, with Rory McIlroy (+1628) offering 5.8% win probability despite poor course history, while longshots like Ben Griffin (+5320) provide compelling top-10 value at 20.3% with elite +1.44 total strokes gained. Course fit data reveals concerning negative adjustments for several favorites, creating opportunities in undervalued ball-strikers.
Scheffler Massive Value Despite Favoritism
Model shows 18.8% win probability against +431 odds for an enormous +18.6% edge. Leads field in approach play (+1.18 SG) which is critical at Riviera's elevated greens.
Scottie Scheffler
McIlroy Course History Red Flag
Despite 5.8% model win probability, his recent Riviera results show decline: T29 (2023), T24 (2024), T17 (2025) with poor kikuyu grass experience.
Rory McIlroy
Si Woo Kim Ball-Striking Edge
Ranks #2 in field for approach play (+0.95 SG) at +3897 odds with 2.5% model win probability. Recent MC and T44 finishes create value opportunity.
Si Woo Kim
Matsuyama Defending Champion Discount
2024 winner now +3342 odds with 2.9% model win probability despite concerning -0.018 course fit. T13 finish in 2025 shows current form questions.
Hideki Matsuyama
Griffin Longshot With Elite Profile
+5320 odds hide impressive +1.44 total strokes gained with 20.3% top-10 probability. Model sees legitimate contender at massive price.
Ben Griffin
Negative Course Fit Favorites
Russell Henley (-0.163), Collin Morikawa (-0.166), and Tommy Fleetwood (-0.115) all show poor Riviera adjustments despite top-10 odds.
Russell Henley Collin Morikawa Tommy Fleetwood
MacIntyre Putting Edge Longshot
Ranks #4 in putting (+0.54 SG) at +5513 odds with 19.8% top-10 probability. Strong total game (+1.35 SG) creates value.
Robert MacIntyre
Adam Scott Course History King
Leads field with +0.227 positive course adjustment at +7573 odds. Historical Riviera excellence could overcome recent form concerns.
Adam Scott
Ball-Striking Premium Play
Collin Morikawa ranks #3 in approach (+0.90 SG) with positive +0.086 course history despite -0.166 current fit adjustment at +4061 odds.
Collin Morikawa
Complete Betting Board
| # | Player | Why They Could Win | Win Odds GolfData API |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Scottie Scheffler
USA - OWGR #1
FAVORITE
|
The world's No. 1 player brings exceptional course form with three straight top-12 finishes at Riviera, including a T3 just last year that showcased his ability to score on this demanding layout. Scheffler's iron play and putting precision are perfectly suited for Riviera's small, undulating greens, and his recent dominance includes two wins in his last four starts. With proven course history and elite current form, he enters as the clear betting favorite despite the elevated odds. |
+431 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T3
2024T10
2023T12
Win+431
Top 5+117
Top 10-165
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T4 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T3 • American Express (Jan 2026): 1
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
18.8%
Top 10 Probability
62.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.13
Course History+0.01
| |||
| 2 |
Rory McIlroy
NIR - OWGR #2
CONTENDER
|
Despite three underwhelming finishes at Riviera (T17, T24, T29), McIlroy's power game can overwhelm this course when his accuracy is dialed in, as evidenced by other elite players finding success here. His ability to reach Riviera's par-5s in two and create birdie opportunities on the shorter par-4s gives him a clear scoring advantage when his driver cooperates. The Northern Irishman's recent T14 at Pebble Beach shows steady form, and a breakthrough at Riviera could launch his season. |
+1628 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T17
2024T24
2023T29
Win+1628
Top 5+362
Top 10+179
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T14
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
5.8%
Top 10 Probability
35.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.01
Course History-0.04
| |||
| 3 |
Xander Schauffele
USA - OWGR #4
VALUE
|
Schauffele's T4 finish in 2024 proved he can contend at Riviera when his putter heats up, and his local knowledge as a San Diego native playing familiar California conditions provides a significant edge. The two-time major champion's methodical approach and elite iron play are perfectly suited for Riviera's precision demands, especially around the tricky greens. After winning the Baycurrent Classic and showing he can still peak for big moments, Schauffele represents excellent value despite missing 2025. |
+2197 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024T4
2023T33
Win+2197
Top 5+456
Top 10+222
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T19 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T41 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
4.3%
Top 10 Probability
31.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History+0.06
| |||
| 4 |
Tommy Fleetwood
ENG - OWGR #3
VALUE
|
Fleetwood's consistent Genesis Invitational record includes a T5 last year and T10 in 2024, proving his methodical ball-striking style thrives on Riviera's demanding layout. The Englishman's exceptional iron play and course management skills are ideally suited for navigating Riviera's kikuyu rough and small greens, where precision trumps power. His recent T4 at Pebble Beach demonstrates he's in prime form and ready to convert his strong Genesis history into a first PGA Tour victory. |
+2820 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T5
2024T10
2023T20
Win+2820
Top 5+517
Top 10+242
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T4
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
3.4%
Top 10 Probability
29.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.12
Course History+0.02
| |||
| 5 |
Hideki Matsuyama
JPN - OWGR #15
VALUE
|
The 2024 Genesis Invitational champion returns to Riviera with proven winning experience and intimate knowledge of what it takes to conquer this venue. Matsuyama's elite iron play and precise distance control are perfectly suited for Riviera's elevation changes and firm greens, as demonstrated by his dominant victory just two years ago. His recent Hero World Challenge playoff victory shows his competitive fire remains strong, and past champions often find extra motivation returning to their breakthrough venues. |
+3342 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T13
20241
2023MC
Win+3342
Top 5+611
Top 10+284
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T8 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): 2 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T11 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T13
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.9%
Top 10 Probability
26.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History+0.07
| |||
| 6 |
Patrick Cantlay
USA - OWGR #27
VALUE
|
Cantlay's exceptional Riviera record features three straight top-5 finishes (T5, T4, 3rd), establishing him as one of the most consistent performers at this venue over the past three years. His cerebral approach and elite putting perfectly match Riviera's strategic demands, where course management and green-reading often separate contenders from winners. The former UCLA Bruin's familiarity with California conditions and proven ability to peak at this specific venue makes him a prime candidate to break through for his first Genesis title. |
+3547 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T5
2024T4
20233
Win+3547
Top 5+648
Top 10+298
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T14 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T13
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.7%
Top 10 Probability
25.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History+0.08
| |||
| 7 |
Russell Henley
USA - OWGR #5
VALUE
|
Despite a disappointing T39 last year, Henley's overall strong 2025 season and methodical game style align perfectly with Riviera's precision requirements. The Georgia native's consistent ball-striking and reliable putting stroke give him the tools to navigate Riviera's challenging greens and avoid the big numbers that derail many contenders here. His recent T19 at Pebble Beach, combined with strong early-season showings, suggests he's building toward a breakthrough performance on a course that rewards his conservative, percentage-play approach. |
+3866 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T39
2024T24
2023MC
Win+3866
Top 5+678
Top 10+308
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T19 • American Express (Jan 2026): T8 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T19
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.5%
Top 10 Probability
24.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.16
Course History+0.02
| |||
| 8 |
Si Woo Kim
KOR - OWGR #42
VALUE
|
Kim's aggressive style and fearless putting can be perfectly suited for Riviera's demanding greens when his confidence is high, though his recent course history has been inconsistent. The South Korean's ability to make long putts and recover from difficult positions gives him the tools to post a low number and steal this tournament when conditions favor scoring. His T6 finish at the American Express shows he can contend early in the season, and his win-or-miss style makes him a volatile but intriguing sleeper pick. |
+3897 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T24
2024T44
2023MC
Win+3897
Top 5+690
Top 10+315
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T45 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T3 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T2 • American Express (Jan 2026): T6 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T11
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.5%
Top 10 Probability
24.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.19
Course History-0.05
| |||
| 9 |
Collin Morikawa
USA - OWGR #19
VALUE
|
Fresh off his commanding victory at Pebble Beach, Morikawa brings elite momentum and proven California course mastery to Riviera, where his precise iron play should thrive on the demanding greens. His 2023 T6 finish at the Genesis demonstrates he can contend here when his putting stroke is working, and his recent win shows the flat stick is heating up at the perfect time. The two-time major champion's ability to peak in big moments, combined with his current hot streak, makes him extremely dangerous despite modest Genesis history. |
+4061 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T17
2024T19
2023T6
Win+4061
Top 5+745
Top 10+346
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): 1 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T54 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.4%
Top 10 Probability
22.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.17
Course History+0.09
| |||
| 10 |
Harris English
USA - OWGR #11
VALUE
|
English's strong Genesis Invitational history includes a 7th-place finish in 2024 and T12 in 2023, proving his steady ball-striking game translates well to Riviera's challenging layout. The Georgia native's consistent iron play and reliable putting stroke are well-suited for navigating Riviera's small, undulating greens where precision is rewarded over power. His world ranking of 11th reflects elite current form, and players with his methodical approach often find success at venues where they've previously contended. |
+4149 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T24
20247
2023T12
Win+4149
Top 5+724
Top 10+327
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T24 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T28 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T22 • American Express (Jan 2026): T27
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.4%
Top 10 Probability
23.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.08
Course History+0.09
| |||
| 11 |
Cameron Young
USA - OWGR #20
VALUE
|
Young's consistent Genesis Invitational record shows he understands what this course demands, posting T16 and T20 finishes in his two completed appearances. As one of the tour's elite ball-strikers ranked 20th in the world, his distance and iron play are perfectly suited for Riviera's demanding approach shots and strategic layout. With his breakthrough win still eluding him despite multiple close calls, this familiar venue could be where it all comes together. |
+4232 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T16
2023T20
Win+4232
Top 5+793
Top 10+369
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T55 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T41 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T22 • American Express (Jan 2026): T44
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.3%
Top 10 Probability
21.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.02
Course History+0.08
| |||
| 12 |
Chris Gotterup
USA - OWGR #17
VALUE
|
The world No. 17 enters as a complete unknown quantity at Riviera, but his recent form suggests a player operating at peak confidence with multiple wins under his belt. His combination of length and precision that delivered victories at the Sony Open and Genesis Scottish Open translates perfectly to Riviera's premium on accurate approach play. Making his Genesis debut with Tour Championship momentum and major championship experience, Gotterup could be the fresh face that conquers this historic venue. |
+4480 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+4480
Top 5+834
Top 10+388
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T37 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): 1 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T18 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): 1
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.2%
Top 10 Probability
20.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.03
Course History—
| |||
| 13 |
Matt Fitzpatrick
ENG - OWGR #22
VALUE
|
Despite struggling at Riviera in recent years with two missed cuts, Fitzpatrick's meticulous course management and elite iron play remain ideally suited for this venue's strategic demands. The former U.S. Open champion has shown flashes of his best form recently, and his proven ability to peak at big events makes him dangerous in this elevated field. His recent T14 at Pebble Beach suggests his game is trending upward just in time for this signature event. |
+4501 |
Tournament History & Odds
202549
2024MC
2023MC
Win+4501
Top 5+761
Top 10+347
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T14 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): 9 • American Express (Jan 2026): T63
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.2%
Top 10 Probability
22.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.07
Course History-0.01
| |||
| 14 |
Jake Knapp
USA - OWGR #94
VALUE
|
Last year's T17 Genesis finish proves Knapp can handle Riviera's unique challenges, and his breakthrough Mexico Open victory demonstrates he has the composure to win at the highest level. The 94th-ranked player thrives on courses that reward precision over power, making his methodical approach perfect for Riviera's strategic layout. His impressive T3 at Farmers and recent consistent play suggest he's ready to make another run at this prestigious title. |
+4830 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T17
2024NA
2023NA
Win+4830
Top 5+932
Top 10+431
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T8 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): 8 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T5 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T11
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.0%
Top 10 Probability
18.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.02
Course History—
| |||
| 15 |
Min Woo Lee
AUS - OWGR #45
VALUE
|
Lee's explosive T2 finish at Pebble Beach proves he's hitting peak form at exactly the right time for another signature West Coast event. While his 48th-place finish here last year was disappointing, the talented Australian has the length and creativity to attack Riviera's challenging pin positions. His aggressive style and recent confidence boost from nearly winning at Pebble Beach could translate into his breakthrough PGA Tour victory. |
+4985 |
Tournament History & Odds
202548
2024NA
2023NA
Win+4985
Top 5+908
Top 10+415
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T2 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T28 • American Express (Jan 2026): T38
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.0%
Top 10 Probability
19.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.02
Course History-0.03
| |||
| 16 |
Ben Griffin
USA - OWGR #8
LONGSHOT
|
The world No. 8 brings elite credentials to a course where he's shown gradual improvement, posting T37 last year after a withdrawal in 2023. Griffin's exceptional putting and short game prowess are crucial weapons on Riviera's tricky greens and demanding up-and-downs. His consistent presence in the world's top 10 indicates the quality needed to contend in this elevated field, despite recent Genesis struggles. |
+5320 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T44
2024T37
2023WD
Win+5320
Top 5+881
Top 10+393
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T37 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T28 • American Express (Jan 2026): T24 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T19
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.9%
Top 10 Probability
20.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History-0.00
| |||
| 17 |
Justin Rose
ENG - OWGR #10
LONGSHOT
|
Despite missing the cut here last year, Rose's world No. 10 ranking and vast experience in big events make him a threat when his game clicks. The former world No. 1 has the tactical intelligence and precise iron play that Riviera rewards, plus the major championship pedigree to handle the pressure of contending. His limited recent form makes him a wildcard, but Rose has proven repeatedly that class is permanent. |
+5502 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024NA
2023MC
Win+5502
Top 5+918
Top 10+427
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T37 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): 1 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.8%
Top 10 Probability
19.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History-0.01
| |||
| 18 |
Robert MacIntyre
SCO - OWGR #6
LONGSHOT
|
The world No. 6 brings elite credentials to his Genesis debut, with his creative shot-making and fearless approach perfectly suited for Riviera's strategic demands. MacIntyre's breakthrough season included multiple wins, proving he can perform under pressure in big events against strong fields. His recent T4 at the Sony Open demonstrates his game travels well to American venues, setting up a potential breakthrough at this prestigious stop. |
+5513 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024NA
2023NA
Win+5513
Top 5+906
Top 10+404
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T37 • American Express (Jan 2026): T38 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T4
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.8%
Top 10 Probability
19.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History+0.03
| |||
| 19 |
Maverick McNealy
USA - OWGR #23
LONGSHOT
|
McNealy's runner-up finish here last year proves he has Riviera completely figured out, losing in a playoff but showing he belongs in the winner's circle at this venue. His local knowledge as a Stanford product combined with multiple top-3 finishes throughout 2025 demonstrates the consistent excellence needed to break through. Returning to the scene of his best career finish with increased confidence, McNealy could finally capture his elusive first PGA Tour victory. |
+5620 |
Tournament History & Odds
20252
2024NA
2023NA
Win+5620
Top 5+968
Top 10+438
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T29 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T13 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): 10 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T24
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.8%
Top 10 Probability
18.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.03
Course History+0.03
| |||
| 20 |
Sam Burns
USA - OWGR #25
LONGSHOT
|
Burns' T10 finish in 2024 shows he can navigate Riviera effectively, and his recent T6 at Pebble Beach indicates his game is peaking at the right time. The former world top-10 player has the power and accuracy combination that thrives on this strategic layout, plus the experience of winning multiple PGA Tour events. His strong recent California form suggests he's dialed in for the West Coast swing's signature event. |
+6283 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T24
2024T10
2023MC
Win+6283
Top 5+1036
Top 10+456
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T6 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T27
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.6%
Top 10 Probability
18.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History-0.00
| |||
| 21 |
Sepp Straka
AUT - OWGR #12
LONGSHOT
|
While Straka's Genesis Invitational record shows missed cuts in recent years, his world ranking of 12th reflects the high-level ball-striking that can unlock Riviera's challenging layout. The Austrian's precision iron play and course management skills are perfectly suited for a venue that demands accuracy over distance. At these generous odds, a player of his caliber represents significant value despite the rocky Genesis history. |
+6317 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024MC
2023T45
Win+6317
Top 5+1052
Top 10+468
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T2 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T18 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.6%
Top 10 Probability
17.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.10
Course History+0.04
| |||
| 22 |
Rickie Fowler
USA - OWGR #83
LONGSHOT
|
Fowler has shown steady improvement at Riviera with finishes of T20, T35, and T39 over the past three years, suggesting he's solving the puzzle of this demanding layout. His creative shot-making ability and experience navigating Riviera's kikuyu rough give him the tools to contend on a course where local knowledge matters. The steady recent form indicates he's building momentum at the right time. |
+6429 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T39
2024T35
2023T20
Win+6429
Top 5+1090
Top 10+479
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T19 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T18 • American Express (Jan 2026): T18
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.5%
Top 10 Probability
17.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.07
Course History-0.01
| |||
| 23 |
Ryan Gerard
USA - OWGR #30
LONGSHOT
|
Gerard arrives as a Genesis Invitational rookie but brings the game that travels well to demanding layouts like Riviera. His world ranking of 30th reflects consistent high-level play, and fresh eyes on this course could be an advantage rather than a liability. The lack of preconceived notions about Riviera's difficulty might allow him to play freely and aggressively. |
+7182 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+7182
Top 5+1120
Top 10+491
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T45 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T11 • American Express (Jan 2026): T2 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): 2
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.4%
Top 10 Probability
16.9%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.09
Course History—
| |||
| 24 |
Keegan Bradley
USA - OWGR #16
LONGSHOT
|
Bradley's fiery competitive nature and clutch putting could be exactly what's needed to tame Riviera's tricky greens and pressure situations. While his Genesis record shows struggles with two missed cuts, his world ranking of 16th indicates he has the game to compete at the highest level. His experience in big moments and ability to get hot with the putter make him a dangerous longshot. |
+7235 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T34
2024MC
2023MC
Win+7235
Top 5+1151
Top 10+502
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T29 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T43 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.4%
Top 10 Probability
16.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.03
Course History+0.00
| |||
| 25 |
Viktor Hovland
NOR - OWGR #14
LONGSHOT
|
Despite a missed cut last year, Hovland's back-to-back T19-T20 finishes in 2024 and 2023 show he understands what Riviera demands. The Norwegian's elite ball-striking and improved short game make him a natural fit for a course that rewards precision and penalizes mistakes. His proven ability to win at the highest level, combined with his strong iron play, gives him multiple paths to contention. |
+7447 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T19
2023T20
Win+7447
Top 5+1099
Top 10+483
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T58 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T10
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
17.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.08
Course History+0.05
| |||
| 26 |
Adam Scott
AUS - OWGR #68
LONGSHOT
|
Scott's veteran savvy and familiarity with Riviera's nuances make him a classic Genesis sleeper, especially with improving finishes of T19 in both 2024 and 2023. His smooth swing and patient approach are perfectly suited for a course that demands course management and precision over power. The Australian's experience in pressure situations and strong recent international form suggest he's ready to make another run. |
+7573 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T37
2024T19
202365
Win+7573
Top 5+1180
Top 10+521
Recent Form
Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T30 • American Express (Jan 2026): T24 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T40
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
16.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History+0.23
| |||
| 27 |
J.J. Spaun
USA - OWGR #7
LONGSHOT
|
As the world's 7th-ranked player and reigning U.S. Open champion, Spaun brings major championship pedigree to a tournament that often rewards clutch performers. His breakthrough season last year, highlighted by multiple near-misses and his Oakmont triumph, shows he has the mental fortitude for Riviera's challenges. The combination of his hot form and newfound confidence at golf's biggest stages makes him a compelling value play. |
+8222 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T34
2024MC
2023T33
Win+8222
Top 5+1263
Top 10+539
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T45 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T40
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.2%
Top 10 Probability
15.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.08
Course History-0.13
| |||
| 28 |
Pierceson Coody
USA - OWGR #90
LONGSHOT
|
Coody arrives as another Genesis rookie but brings the steady, methodical game that can thrive on Riviera's demanding layout. His ability to grind out scores and avoid big numbers aligns perfectly with what this course demands from week to week. As a longshot with proven tour-level ability, he represents the type of value pick that can surprise in this field. |
+8991 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+8991
Top 5+1359
Top 10+581
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T48 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T10 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T2 • American Express (Jan 2026): T18 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T13
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.1%
Top 10 Probability
14.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.00
Course History—
| |||
| 29 |
Kurt Kitayama
USA - OWGR #37
LONGSHOT
|
Kitayama's world ranking of 37th reflects a player with the talent to compete at Riviera, even without extensive Genesis history. His international experience and ability to adapt to different conditions could serve him well on a unique layout like Riviera. The lack of baggage from previous poor finishes here might actually work in his favor as he approaches the course with fresh perspective. |
+9019 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024T39
2023MC
Win+9019
Top 5+1490
Top 10+646
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T48 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T24 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T40
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.1%
Top 10 Probability
13.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.00
Course History-0.02
| |||
| 30 |
Ludvig Aberg
SWE - OWGR #18
LONGSHOT
|
Aberg is the defending Genesis champion, though last year's event was held at Torrey Pines after the Palisades fire forced the tournament to relocate from Riviera—so this week he'll be tackling Riviera proper for the first time as the titleholder. His elite ball-striking and course management translated to a win on the West Coast last year, and his major championship experience shows he thrives under pressure. Despite being offered at longshot odds, his defending champion status and current form make him a compelling value play. |
+9593 |
Tournament History & Odds
20251
2024T19
2023NA
Win+9593
Top 5+1454
Top 10+637
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T37 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): WD
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.0%
Top 10 Probability
13.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History+-0.00
| |||
| 31 |
Nick Taylor
CAN - OWGR #51
LONGSHOT
|
Taylor arrives with legitimate momentum after his breakthrough T9 finish at this event in 2025, proving he can handle Riviera's demanding approach shots and subtle greens. The Canadian's precision iron play and steady putting stroke align perfectly with what this classic layout demands, and his recent course history shows steady improvement from T33 to T39 to last year's T9. At 51st in the world rankings, he's flying under the radar despite demonstrating he belongs in contention at this venue. |
+9624 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T9
2024T39
2023T33
Win+9624
Top 5+1456
Top 10+610
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T24 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T28 • American Express (Jan 2026): T27 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T13
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.0%
Top 10 Probability
14.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.10
Course History+0.07
| |||
| 32 |
Jason Day
AUS - OWGR #62
LONGSHOT
|
Day's recent Riviera form tells a compelling story, with back-to-back T9 finishes in 2023-2024 before last year's disappointing T50. The former world No. 1's power game and elite iron play remain perfectly suited for Riviera's premium on approach shots, and his T9-T9 run proves he's solved this course's puzzles. When Day's putting stroke is on, his combination of distance and precision makes him dangerous at any venue where he's found success. |
+10139 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T50
20249
2023T9
Win+10139
Top 5+1513
Top 10+641
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T24 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T38 • American Express (Jan 2026): T2
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.0%
Top 10 Probability
13.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History-0.11
| |||
| 33 |
Shane Lowry
IRL - OWGR #26
LONGSHOT
|
The Irishman's world ranking of 26th makes him one of the highest-rated players in this betting range, and his T14 finish in 2023 demonstrated his ability to navigate Riviera's strategic challenges. Lowry's exceptional wedge play and scrambling ability are tailor-made for this course, where precision around the greens often separates contenders from the field. His recent T8 at Pebble Beach proves his game is in excellent form heading into another demanding coastal layout. |
+10245 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T39
2024NA
2023T14
Win+10245
Top 5+1580
Top 10+666
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T8
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.0%
Top 10 Probability
13.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.06
Course History-0.01
| |||
| 34 |
Taylor Pendrith
CAN - OWGR #43
LONGSHOT
|
The big-hitting Canadian possesses the length to attack Riviera's reachable par-4s while his improved iron play gives him scoring opportunities on the shorter holes. At 43rd in the world rankings, Pendrith represents legitimate upside despite limited course history, and his game profile suits venues where distance provides strategic advantages. His powerful draw naturally fits Riviera's shot shapes, particularly on the demanding closing stretch. |
+10633 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T50
2024NA
2023NA
Win+10633
Top 5+1544
Top 10+665
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T34 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T6
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.9%
Top 10 Probability
13.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.04
Course History-0.02
| |||
| 35 |
Alex Noren
SWE - OWGR #13
LONGSHOT
|
The Swedish veteran's world ranking of 13th makes him a significant value play at these odds, despite his limited recent history at Riviera. Noren's precise iron play and exceptional course management skills align perfectly with what this strategic layout demands, and his recent form suggests he's playing some of the best golf of his career. His experience on challenging layouts worldwide gives him the tactical awareness to navigate Riviera's subtle demands. |
+11416 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023MC
Win+11416
Top 5+1720
Top 10+716
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T29 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.9%
Top 10 Probability
12.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.06
Course History+0.01
| |||
| 36 |
J.T. Poston
USA - OWGR #56
LONGSHOT
|
Poston's T10 finish in 2024 proves he can contend at Riviera, and his steady ball-striking game thrives on courses that reward precision over power. The consistency-focused North Carolinian has shown improvement at this venue, moving from a missed cut in 2023 to top-40 and top-10 finishes in subsequent years. His methodical approach and reliable putting stroke make him a threat when conditions demand patience and course management. |
+11619 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T39
2024T10
2023MC
Win+11619
Top 5+1568
Top 10+643
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T37 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T35 • American Express (Jan 2026): T38
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
13.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.11
Course History+0.07
| |||
| 37 |
Akshay Bhatia
USA - OWGR #52
LONGSHOT
|
The young American announced his arrival at Riviera with a breakthrough T9 finish in 2025, showcasing the aggressive iron play and fearless putting that define his game. Bhatia's ability to attack pins and make putts under pressure could be decisive on a course where scoring opportunities are limited. At just 22 years old, he represents the new generation of players who can overpower traditional strategic layouts with superior skill and confidence. |
+11828 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T9
2024NA
2023NA
Win+11828
Top 5+1802
Top 10+736
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T6 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T3 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
12.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History—
| |||
| 38 |
Harry Hall
WAL - OWGR #54
LONGSHOT
|
Hall arrives with no course history but excellent recent form, including a T6 at the Sony Open that showcased his improved putting and course management. The Englishman's methodical approach and steady ball-striking align well with Riviera's demands for precision and patience. His recent consistency suggests a player coming into his own on the PGA Tour, making him a dangerous sleeper pick at a course where newcomers can surprise. |
+12803 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+12803
Top 5+1784
Top 10+730
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T24 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T24 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T6
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
12.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.03
Course History—
| |||
| 39 |
Jordan Spieth
USA - OWGR #79
LONGSHOT
|
Despite recent struggles at Riviera, Spieth's strategic mind and short game wizardry remain perfectly suited for this venue's subtle challenges and demanding greens. The three-time major champion is working back from wrist surgery but showed flashes of his old form with T11 at Farmers, suggesting his feel around the greens is returning. When healthy and confident, Spieth's ability to manufacture shots and hole crucial putts makes him dangerous at courses that reward creativity. |
+12887 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024DQ
2023MC
Win+12887
Top 5+1869
Top 10+770
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T29 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T24
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
11.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.02
Course History-0.04
| |||
| 40 |
Sahith Theegala
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
|
Theegala brings no Riviera history but possesses the precise iron play and putting touch that typically succeed at this venue. His recent T8 finishes at both the American Express and RSM Classic demonstrate the consistency and scoring ability needed to contend on challenging layouts. The Californian's aggressive style and clutch putting make him a threat to break through for his first PGA Tour victory at a course that rewards bold play. |
+13029 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+13029
Top 5+1874
Top 10+797
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T60 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T18 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T7 • American Express (Jan 2026): T8 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T31
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
11.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.02
Course History+0.03
| |||
| 41 |
Sam Stevens
USA - OWGR #50
LONGSHOT
|
The world No. 50 showed flashes of his potential with a T31 at this event in 2025, establishing a foundation at Riviera Country Club's demanding layout. Stevens' recent T6 at the American Express demonstrates he can contend against elite fields when his iron play is dialed in. His steady climbing up the world rankings suggests he's ready to break through for his first PGA Tour victory. |
+13661 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T31
2024NA
2023NA
Win+13661
Top 5+1950
Top 10+807
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T55 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T35 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T30 • American Express (Jan 2026): T6 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T31
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.7%
Top 10 Probability
11.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History—
| |||
| 42 |
Jacob Bridgeman
USA - OWGR #63
LONGSHOT
|
Making his Genesis Invitational debut, Bridgeman arrives with exceptional recent momentum that suggests he's primed for a breakthrough performance. The world No. 63 has shown remarkable consistency in California events, with his precise ball-striking well-suited for Riviera's premium on accuracy over distance. His ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities in windy conditions could be the difference-maker at this traditionally challenging venue. |
+13757 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+13757
Top 5+1939
Top 10+795
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T8 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T18 • American Express (Jan 2026): T13 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T4
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.7%
Top 10 Probability
11.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.01
Course History—
| |||
| 43 |
Wyndham Clark
USA - OWGR #49
LONGSHOT
|
The former U.S. Open champion has the major championship pedigree to handle Riviera's pressure-packed atmosphere, though his recent Genesis form shows room for improvement after a T31 in 2025 and missed cut in 2024. Clark's powerful driving advantage gets neutralized at Riviera, but his improved short game and putting could unlock better results on the kikuyu grass surfaces. His proven ability to peak in big moments makes him a dangerous longshot despite inconsistent course history. |
+17291 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T31
2024MC
2023T33
Win+17291
Top 5+2257
Top 10+922
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T58 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T35 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T65 • American Express (Jan 2026): T13
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
9.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.07
Course History+0.01
| |||
| 44 |
Patrick Rodgers
USA - OWGR #87
LONGSHOT
|
Rodgers produced a breakthrough T3 finish at the 2025 Genesis Invitational, proving he can navigate Riviera's unique challenges and contend against elite fields on this stage. His methodical, course-management approach perfectly suits Riviera's emphasis on precision over power, and that top-3 result should provide crucial confidence and course knowledge. The former Stanford star has always thrived in California, and his recent 3rd place finish at the Sony Open demonstrates he's carrying excellent form into this return to Riviera. |
+17864 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T3
2024MC
2023MC
Win+17864
Top 5+2401
Top 10+971
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T52 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T60 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T27 • American Express (Jan 2026): T44 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): 3
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
9.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.04
Course History+0.06
| |||
| 45 |
Max McGreevy
USA - OWGR #70
LONGSHOT
|
Returning to Riviera after a missed cut in 2023, McGreevy arrives with improved course management skills and a more mature approach to elite competition. The world No. 70 has shown steady progression in high-profile events, and his accurate iron play aligns well with Riviera's demands for precision approach shots into small targets. His recent solid finishes in California suggest he's comfortable in these premium West Coast events where course knowledge and patience are paramount. |
+18592 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023MC
Win+18592
Top 5+2315
Top 10+922
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T29 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T48 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T30 • American Express (Jan 2026): T27 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
9.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.11
Course History+0.01
| |||
| 46 |
Max Greyserman
USA - OWGR #33
LONGSHOT
|
The world No. 33 posted a respectable T24 in his 2025 Genesis debut, showing he can handle the unique challenges of Riviera's kikuyu rough and undulating greens. Greyserman's methodical approach and strong iron play from 150 yards and in could prove decisive on a course that demands precision over power. His rising world ranking reflects improved consistency, and a return to familiar conditions could unlock his first PGA Tour breakthrough. |
+18887 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T24
2024NA
2023NA
Win+18887
Top 5+2723
Top 10+1102
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T37 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T56
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
8.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.08
Course History—
| |||
| 47 |
Garrick Higgo
RSA - OWGR #64
LONGSHOT
|
The South African brings explosive scoring ability and international major championship experience to his Genesis Invitational debut, with five top-10s in 2025 including a victory at Corales. Higgo's aggressive style and fearless putting could pay dividends at Riviera, where birdies are crucial to keeping pace with the field. His recent T4 at the World Wide Technology Championship, where he fired a third-round 61, proves he can go low when conditions align. |
+20661 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+20661
Top 5+2586
Top 10+1061
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T60 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
8.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.06
Course History—
| |||
| 48 |
Max Homa
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
|
The California native and former Genesis Invitational champion understands Riviera Country Club better than almost anyone in the field, with intimate knowledge of every nuance and subtlety. Homa's short game wizardry and clutch putting have historically thrived on these kikuyu surfaces, and his proven ability to handle the pressure of his home state tournament makes him dangerous despite longer odds. His course management and local knowledge could overcome any recent form concerns when he returns to his favorite venue. |
+21101 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+21101
Top 5+2816
Top 10+1129
Recent Form
WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T66 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T27
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
8.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.00
Course History+0.20
| |||
| 49 |
Matt McCarty
USA - OWGR #58
LONGSHOT
|
Making his Genesis Invitational debut, the world No. 58 arrives with tremendous momentum after a near-miss T2 finish at the American Express that showcased his ability to contend in strong fields. McCarty's powerful driving and improved putting stroke could unlock Riviera's scoring opportunities, particularly if he can avoid the kikuyu rough that has troubled many first-time players. His fearless approach and rising confidence make him a dangerous debut performer at this elite venue. |
+21561 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+21561
Top 5+2615
Top 10+1028
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T67 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T18 • American Express (Jan 2026): T2 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T55
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
8.9%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.07
Course History—
| |||
| 50 |
Ryo Hisatsune
JPN - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
|
The Japanese professional makes his Genesis Invitational debut with a well-rounded game that could translate beautifully to Riviera's demands for precision and course management. Hisatsune's excellent T8 finish at Pebble Beach demonstrates his comfort in challenging California conditions and ability to score consistently in elite fields. His methodical approach and steady demeanor under pressure make him an intriguing longshot for players seeking debut magic at this prestigious venue. |
+21561 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+21561
Top 5+2645
Top 10+1042
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T8 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T10 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T2 • American Express (Jan 2026): T44 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
8.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.07
Course History—
| |||
| 51 |
Corey Conners
CAN - OWGR #31
LONGSHOT
|
The steady Canadian has found his comfort zone at Riviera Country Club, posting back-to-back T24 finishes in 2024 and 2025 that showcase his ability to navigate the demanding layout. His elite iron play and course management skills are perfectly suited for Riviera's premium on precision and positioning. At 31st in the world rankings, Conners has the game to contend if his putter cooperates on the tricky greens. |
+23156 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T24
2024T24
202361
Win+23156
Top 5+2841
Top 10+1146
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T70 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T24
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
8.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.12
Course History-0.06
| |||
| 52 |
Marco Penge
ITA - OWGR #29
LONGSHOT
|
The rising star enters as a three-time winner in 2025, including a playoff victory at the Open de España that demonstrated his clutch gene under pressure. His explosive ball-striking and fearless approach could be exactly what's needed to tame Riviera's challenging layout in his Genesis debut. At 29th in the world, Penge has the credentials to announce himself on the PGA Tour stage with a statement performance. |
+23246 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+23246
Top 5+3162
Top 10+1284
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T64 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
7.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.07
Course History—
| |||
| 53 |
Ryan Fox
NZL - OWGR #41
LONGSHOT
|
The powerful New Zealander makes his Genesis Invitational debut with a game that could translate beautifully to Riviera's demanding test. His combination of length off the tee and improved short game gives him the tools to attack this classic layout where precision meets power. Fox's recent consistent form and major championship experience at The Open (T25) suggest he's ready for a breakthrough week. |
+23900 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+23900
Top 5+3295
Top 10+1247
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T24 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T24
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
7.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.10
Course History—
| |||
| 54 |
Rico Hoey
USA - OWGR #71
LONGSHOT
|
The rising talent brings momentum from his recent runner-up finish at the BoU Championship, showcasing the type of form that can translate into breakthrough performances. His aggressive style and fearless approach could be perfectly suited for attacking Riviera's risk-reward opportunities in his Genesis debut. At 71st in the world, Hoey has the game to surprise if he can find the precision needed around the greens. |
+24290 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+24290
Top 5+3142
Top 10+1229
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T67 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T24 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T70 • American Express (Jan 2026): WD • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T50
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
7.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.07
Course History—
| |||
| 55 |
Tony Finau
USA - OWGR #-
LONGSHOT
|
The veteran brings extensive experience and a power game that has proven successful on demanding layouts throughout his career. His strong T18 finish at Pebble Beach shows his game is trending in the right direction at the perfect time for his Genesis debut. Finau's combination of length, short game touch, and clutch putting under pressure makes him dangerous on any course that rewards aggressive play. |
+25005 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+25005
Top 5+3186
Top 10+1246
Recent Form
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): 18 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T11 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
7.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.07
Course History+0.00
| |||
Round 1 — 3-Balls
| Grp | Tee Time | Hole | Player 1 | Odds | Player 2 | Odds | Player 3 | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:22 | 1 | Justin Rose | +232 | Rory McIlroy | +150 | Pierceson Coody | +234 |
| 2 | 07:22 | 10 | Chris Kirk | +201 | Bud Cauley | +213 | Patrick Rodgers | +187 |
| 3 | 07:33 | 1 | Tony Finau | +322 | Russell Henley | +114 | Sami Valimaki | +238 |
| 4 | 07:33 | 10 | Mackenzie Hughes | +262 | Michael Kim | +241 | Cameron Young | +132 |
| 5 | 07:44 | 1 | Patrick Cantlay | +184 | Alex Smalley | +266 | Ryan Gerard | +167 |
| 6 | 07:44 | 10 | Taylor Pendrith | +224 | Kurt Kitayama | +190 | Sam Stevens | +188 |
| 7 | 07:55 | 1 | Jason Day | +180 | J.T. Poston | +211 | Harry Hall | +211 |
| 8 | 07:55 | 10 | Emiliano Grillo | +306 | Viktor Hovland | +130 | Wyndham Clark | +214 |
| 9 | 08:06 | 1 | Nick Taylor | +195 | Keegan Bradley | +246 | Chris Gotterup | +169 |
| 10 | 08:06 | 10 | Billy Horschel | +331 | J.J. Spaun | +140 | Ludvig Aberg | +184 |
| 11 | 08:17 | 1 | Ryan Fox | +256 | Harris English | +131 | Max Greyserman | +248 |
| 12 | 08:17 | 10 | Denny McCarthy | +221 | Sahith Theegala | +164 | Andrew Novak | +222 |
| 13 | 08:28 | 1 | Scottie Scheffler | -124 | Robert MacIntyre | +295 | Max McGreevy | +415 |
| 14 | 08:28 | 10 | Keith Mitchell | +147 | Kevin Yu | +185 | Aldrich Potgieter | +309 |
| 15 | 08:39 | 1 | Brian Harman | +313 | Alex Noren | +215 | Matt Fitzpatrick | +127 |
| 16 | 08:39 | 10 | Si Woo Kim | +116 | Marco Penge | +290 | Garrick Higgo | +256 |
| 17 | 08:50 | 1 | Rickie Fowler | +160 | Tom Hoge | +266 | Ryo Hisatsune | +193 |
| 18 | 08:50 | 10 | Lucas Glover | +213 | Rico Hoey | +146 | Steven Fisk | +265 |
| 19 | 09:01 | 1 | Shane Lowry | +237 | Jordan Spieth | +270 | Xander Schauffele | +131 |
| 20 | 09:01 | 10 | Stephan Jaeger | +180 | Brian Campbell | +343 | Matt McCarty | +139 |
| 21 | 09:12 | 1 | Min Woo Lee | +191 | Nico Echavarria | +327 | Ben Griffin | +137 |
| 22 | 09:12 | 10 | Corey Conners | +164 | Michael Thorbjornsen | +126 | Joe Highsmith | +459 |
| 23 | 09:23 | 1 | Tommy Fleetwood | +171 | Maverick McNealy | +190 | Sam Burns | +248 |
| 24 | 09:23 | 10 | Daniel Berger | +160 | Aaron Rai | +179 | Matti Schmid | +291 |
| 25 | 09:34 | 1 | Hideki Matsuyama | +167 | Jake Knapp | +198 | Jacob Bridgeman | +246 |
| 26 | 09:34 | 10 | Jhonattan Vegas | +113 | Adam Schenk | +132 | Tie | +912 |
| 27 | 09:45 | 1 | Sepp Straka | +191 | Collin Morikawa | +164 | Akshay Bhatia | +261 |