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// BETTING PREVIEW - APRIL 9-12
Masters Tournament
April 9-12, 2026 | Augusta, Georgia
⛅ Tournament Weather Forecast
Expect sunny skies with highs in the 73F range and light winds around 10 mph throughout the week. No rain is forecast, making for ideal scoring conditions.
Miller
- Win:Justin Rose+5310
- Top 5:Ludvig Aberg+509
- Top 10:Bryson DeChambeau+219
Kevin
- Win:Jon Rahm+1279
- Top 5:Bryson DeChambeau+448
- Top 10:Justin Rose+434
Andrew
- Win:Jake Knapp+7400
- Top 5:Justin Rose+961
- Top 10:Bryson DeChambeau+219
Kcon
- Win:Bryson DeChambeau+2146
- Top 5:Xander Schauffele+384
- Top 10:Patrick Reed+659
Parbeh
- Win:Jordan Spieth+5476
- Top 5:Ludvig Aberg+509
- Top 10:Sungjae Im+1454
JB
- Win:Bryson DeChambeau+2146
- Top 5:Matt Fitzpatrick+446
- Top 10:Akshay Bhatia+609
Scottie Scheffler presents exceptional value at +749 with an 11.8% model win probability and field-leading +2.56 SG Total, making him a clear favorite despite recent inconsistency. Rory McIlroy's best-in-field +0.112 course fit adjustment combined with his recent win and 6.5% model probability at +1431 odds creates compelling value for bettors. Among longshots, Si Woo Kim at +5041 stands out with elite ball-striking (+0.82 SG Approach, 5th in field) and a 21.4% top-10 probability on a course where precision matters.
Scheffler Massive Value Despite Inconsistency
Model gives Scheffler 11.8% win probability at +749 odds, creating a massive 11.7% edge with field-leading +2.56 SG Total and strong +0.074 course fit.
Scottie Scheffler
McIlroy's Course Fit Advantage
McIlroy shows best-in-field +0.112 course fit adjustment and recent win form, with model seeing 6.5% win probability at generous +1431 odds.
Rory McIlroy
DeChambeau Bomber's Paradise Setup
With Augusta favoring bombers at 'very_high' level, DeChambeau's +0.098 course fit and 4.8% model win probability offers value at +1984 odds.
Bryson DeChambeau
Si Woo Kim Elite Ball-Striking Value
Kim ranks 5th in field in SG Approach (+0.82) with 21.4% top-10 probability, offering tremendous longshot value at +5041 odds.
Si Woo Kim
Morikawa Approach Play Discount
Field's best approach player (+0.95 SG) available at +4766 odds, perfect for Augusta's demanding second shot requirements.
Collin Morikawa
Fleetwood Negative Course Fit Warning
Despite strong +1.80 SG Total, Fleetwood's -0.020 course fit adjustment suggests his +2428 odds may be appropriately priced.
Tommy Fleetwood
Rahm Defending Champion Value
2023 winner shows +2.26 SG Total (2nd in field) with 7.3% model win probability creating 7.2% edge at +1270 odds.
Jon Rahm
Spieth Course History Premium
Three-time major winner gets +0.261 strokes course history boost with 20.3% top-10 probability at attractive +5410 longshot odds.
Jordan Spieth
Complete Betting Board
| # | Player | Why They Could Win | Win Odds GolfData API |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Scottie Scheffler
USA - OWGR #1
FAVORITE
|
The 2024 Masters champion opened 2026 with a win at the American Express and carries a gaudy +2.56 SG Total into Augusta, where his course fit adjustment actually undersells his dominance. That 11.78% model win probability leads the field by nearly five percentage points, and the +749 price feels almost generous for someone who's finished T4-1-T10 in his last three Masters appearances. When you're gaining nearly a full stroke on approach and putting positively, Augusta becomes a playground. |
+721 |
Tournament History & Odds
20254
20241
2023T10
Win+721
Top 5+175
Top 10-113
Recent Form
THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T22 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T24 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T12 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T4 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T3 • American Express (Jan 2026): 1
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
11.8%
Top 10 Probability
52.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.07
Course History+0.16
| |||
| 2 |
Jon Rahm
USA - OWGR #30
CONTENDER
|
The 2023 champion at +1270 represents the best value among the contenders, especially with his SG profile showing elite length (+0.81 OTT) and approach play (+0.85) that Augusta rewards. His model win percentage of 7.3% suggests the market is sleeping on a player who knows how to navigate these greens under pressure. The recent form sheet is empty, but that's likely just limited LIV appearances — his game travels. |
+1279 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T14
2024T45
20231
Win+1279
Top 5+278
Top 10+136
Recent Form
—
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
7.3%
Top 10 Probability
42.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.08
Course History+0.09
| |||
| 3 |
Rory McIlroy
USA - OWGR #2
CONTENDER
|
Fresh off his first Masters victory in 2025, McIlroy returns to Augusta with the career Grand Slam monkey finally off his back and a +0.93 SG Off-the-Tee that ranks among the field's best. The psychological shift from chasing history to defending a title could be exactly what his game needs, and his +1431 price undervalues a player who gained serious confidence from breaking through here. That T2 at Riviera shows the ball-striking is in championship form. |
+1557 |
Tournament History & Odds
20251
2024T22
2023MC
Win+1557
Top 5+341
Top 10+168
Recent Form
THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T46 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): WD • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T2 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T14
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
6.5%
Top 10 Probability
38.9%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.11
Course History+0.04
| |||
| 4 |
Xander Schauffele
USA - OWGR #10
CONTENDER
|
Three straight top-10s at Augusta (T10-8-T8) and a recent T4-3-T24 run heading into Masters week, with that +0.87 SG Approach ranking second among these contenders. Schauffele's consistency at Augusta is remarkable, and his iron play translates perfectly to these elevated, sloped greens where precision matters more than power. At +1787, he's priced like a fringe contender when his course history suggests he's a legitimate threat. |
+1779 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T8
20248
2023T10
Win+1779
Top 5+384
Top 10+188
Recent Form
Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T4 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): 3 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T24 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T7 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T19 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T41 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
5.3%
Top 10 Probability
35.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.08
Course History+0.07
| |||
| 5 |
Bryson DeChambeau
USA - OWGR #24
CONTENDER
|
The +1.06 SG Off-the-Tee leads this entire field, and Augusta's length changes have only made his driving advantage more pronounced — just ask his T6-T5 finishes the last two years. DeChambeau's approach game has quietly improved to +0.36, and when you can overpower Augusta's par-5s while avoiding the trouble that shorter hitters face, the path becomes clearer. The +1984 price feels right for someone whose game fits better here than anywhere else on the major rotation. |
+2146 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T5
2024T6
2023MC
Win+2146
Top 5+448
Top 10+219
Recent Form
—
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
4.8%
Top 10 Probability
31.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.10
Course History-0.04
| |||
| 6 |
Matt Fitzpatrick
USA - OWGR #6
CONTENDER
|
Back-to-back wins at Valspar and a runner-up at THE PLAYERS, riding the hottest form of anyone in this field with elite approach numbers (+0.77 SG) that should translate to Augusta's premium on iron play. Fitzpatrick's methodical, course-management style has produced three straight top-40s at Augusta, and this recent surge suggests he's found another gear. At +2232, the market hasn't caught up to his current form level. |
+2235 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T40
2024T22
2023T10
Win+2235
Top 5+446
Top 10+210
Recent Form
Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): 1 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): 2 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T41 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T24 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T14 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): 9 • American Express (Jan 2026): T63
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
4.3%
Top 10 Probability
32.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.01
Course History+0.11
| |||
| 7 |
Tommy Fleetwood
USA - OWGR #4
CONTENDER
|
That T3 finish in 2024 wasn't a fluke — Fleetwood's +0.73 SG Approach and surgical precision around Augusta's greens make him a perfect fit for this test. His steady T10-T8-T4 stretch in recent starts shows the game is in Masters form, and the +2428 price offers legitimate value on someone who's proven he can contend here when the pressure mounts. The neutral course fit adjustment undersells how well his skill set matches Augusta's demands. |
+2438 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T21
2024T3
202333
Win+2438
Top 5+462
Top 10+214
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): T10 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T8 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): 49 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T7 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T4
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
4.0%
Top 10 Probability
31.9%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History+0.05
| |||
| 8 |
Ludvig Aberg
USA - OWGR #17
CONTENDER
|
Runner-up in his Masters debut last year and T5-T5-T3 in his last three starts, with that approach play (+0.55 SG) creating consistent scoring chances. The course history adjustment (+0.091) is significant for someone with only two Augusta appearances, suggesting the model sees major upside potential. Priced at +2903 despite elite recent form and proven major championship mettle. |
+2525 |
Tournament History & Odds
20257
20242
2023NA
Win+2525
Top 5+509
Top 10+242
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): T5 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T5 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T3 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T20 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T37 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): WD
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
3.3%
Top 10 Probability
27.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.07
Course History+0.09
| |||
| 9 |
Cameron Young
USA - OWGR #3
CONTENDER
|
Won THE PLAYERS Championship two starts ago and followed it with a T3 at Bay Hill, proving he's finally converting elite ballstriking into victories. The +1.84 SG Total ranks among field leaders, and his T9-T7 Masters finishes in 2024-23 show Augusta suits his power game perfectly. At +2837, the model likes his 3.4% win chances and 27.3% top-10 probability more than the betting market does. |
+2699 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T9
2023T7
Win+2699
Top 5+553
Top 10+267
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): MC • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): 1 • Puerto Rico Open (Mar 2026): T66 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T3 • Cognizant Classic (Feb 2026): T52 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T7 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T55 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T41 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T22 • American Express (Jan 2026): T44
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
3.4%
Top 10 Probability
27.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.08
Course History+0.00
| |||
| 10 |
Hideki Matsuyama
USA - OWGR #14
CONTENDER
|
The 2021 champion's approach play (+0.67 SG) and short game (+0.38 around the green) remain elite, and his course history adjustment of +0.193 is the highest among these players for good reason. Matsuyama's ball-striking has been quietly excellent this year, including that runner-up at Phoenix, and Augusta's firm conditions typically favor his controlled, low-trajectory iron game. The +2595 number offers sneaky value on a proven major winner who knows these greens better than most. |
+2867 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T21
2024T38
2023T16
Win+2867
Top 5+535
Top 10+249
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): T21 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T27 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T41 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T28 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T8 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): 2 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T11 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T13
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
3.7%
Top 10 Probability
29.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.05
Course History+0.19
| |||
| 11 |
Min Woo Lee
USA - OWGR #25
CONTENDER
|
T3-T6-T2 in three of his last four starts, riding a momentum wave that includes elite putting (+0.40 SG) to complement his natural power game. The +0.104 course fit adjustment suggests Augusta's changes favor his skill set, despite that disappointing T49 finish last month. At +3250, you're getting a player with legitimate win equity (2.99%) who's clearly trending in the right direction. |
+3325 |
Tournament History & Odds
202549
2024T22
2023MC
Win+3325
Top 5+619
Top 10+290
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T3 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T32 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T6 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T12 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T2 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T28 • American Express (Jan 2026): T38
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
3.0%
Top 10 Probability
25.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.10
Course History-0.01
| |||
| 12 |
Robert MacIntyre
USA - OWGR #8
CONTENDER
|
That T2 at Texas and T4 at THE PLAYERS showcase the short game wizardry (+0.22 around the green, +0.63 putting) that travels perfectly to Augusta. Making his second Masters appearance after missing the cut in 2025, but the model's course fit adjustment (+0.067) suggests he'll handle the pressure better this time. The +3372 price undervalues a player with 2.88% win chances and proven clutch gene. |
+3446 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024NA
2023NA
Win+3446
Top 5+609
Top 10+274
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): T2 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): 4 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T24 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T20 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T37 • American Express (Jan 2026): T38 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T4
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.9%
Top 10 Probability
26.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.07
Course History+0.04
| |||
| 13 |
Si Woo Kim
USA - OWGR #28
CONTENDER
|
Approach play sits at +0.82 SG with consistent top-10 finishes (T10-T7-T3-T2 in recent starts), but the putting (-0.13 SG) remains a major liability on Augusta's slick surfaces. Course fit adjustment of -0.122 suggests the model isn't buying his recent form translating to Georgia. Hard to see a win path at +5041 unless the flatstick suddenly cooperates for four straight days. |
+4617 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024T30
2023T29
Win+4617
Top 5+790
Top 10+355
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): T10 • Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): MC • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T7 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T50 • Puerto Rico Open (Mar 2026): T42 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T13 • Cognizant Classic (Feb 2026): MC • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T34 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T45 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T3 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T2 • American Express (Jan 2026): T6 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T11
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.9%
Top 10 Probability
21.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.12
Course History+0.04
| |||
| 14 |
Collin Morikawa
USA - OWGR #7
CONTENDER
|
Owns the best approach play in this field at +0.95 SG, and that T3-T10-T14 Augusta record proves he can navigate these greens despite putting struggles. The Pebble Beach win and Bay Hill T5 show his iron game is peaking at the right time. Course fit adjustment is negative (-0.104), but his +4766 price assumes the putting woes continue — one decent week on the greens changes everything. |
+4871 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T14
2024T3
2023T10
Win+4871
Top 5+829
Top 10+371
Recent Form
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): 5 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T7 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): 1 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T54 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.0%
Top 10 Probability
21.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.10
Course History+0.12
| |||
| 15 |
Russell Henley
USA - OWGR #12
VALUE
|
Owns a T4 finish here in 2023 but missed cuts in both subsequent visits, creating value confusion in the betting market. Recent form shows flashes (T6 at Bay Hill, T13 at PLAYERS) mixed with missed cuts, typical Henley inconsistency. The +5113 price reflects skepticism about his ability to peak for majors, though the course history adjustment (+0.086) hints at underlying Augusta comfort. |
+5182 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T38
2023T4
Win+5182
Top 5+831
Top 10+367
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): MC • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T13 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T6 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T19 • American Express (Jan 2026): T8 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T19
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.9%
Top 10 Probability
21.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.07
Course History+0.09
| |||
| 16 |
Justin Rose
USA - OWGR #9
VALUE
|
Coming off a win at Farmers Insurance just two starts ago, providing exactly the confidence boost needed for a venue that's historically treated him well. His +0.53 SG Approach remains solid enough to contend at Augusta, and that 2018 runner-up finish proves he can handle the pressure when everything clicks. The +5720 price feels generous for a player with both recent momentum and proven major championship mettle. |
+5310 |
Tournament History & Odds
20252
2024MC
2023T16
Win+5310
Top 5+961
Top 10+434
Recent Form
THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T13 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): MC • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T37 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): 1 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.7%
Top 10 Probability
18.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.03
Course History+0.38
| |||
| 17 |
Jordan Spieth
USA - OWGR #61
VALUE
|
Former Masters champion sits at just +0.95 SG Total this season, well below his peak powers, but that +0.261 course history adjustment is massive. Augusta remains his sanctuary despite current struggles, with T4-T14 finishes in two of his last three appearances. At +5410, you're betting on muscle memory and major championship DNA overriding mediocre recent form — classic Spieth Masters hedge play. |
+5476 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T14
2024MC
2023T4
Win+5476
Top 5+899
Top 10+399
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): T63 • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T11 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T32 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T11 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T12 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T29 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T24
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.8%
Top 10 Probability
20.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.05
Course History+0.26
| |||
| 18 |
Maverick McNealy
USA - OWGR #27
VALUE
|
Consistent ball-striking (+0.41 SG Approach, +0.34 off the tee) creates the foundation for Augusta success, backed by solid recent form including T10 at Farmers and T13 at Phoenix. The +1.30 SG Total ranks among the field's best, suggesting he's playing at a level worthy of contention despite minimal Masters history. His +7534 odds dramatically undervalue a player with this statistical profile heading into major championship week. |
+6530 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T32
2024NA
2023NA
Win+6530
Top 5+1119
Top 10+492
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): T21 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T32 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T13 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T29 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T13 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): 10 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T24
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
16.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.07
Course History+0.00
| |||
| 19 |
Jake Knapp
USA - OWGR #42
VALUE
|
Two wins this season (Phoenix Open, Sony Open) plus that T6 at Houston last week showcase a player hitting peak form at the perfect time. The +0.64 SG Putting leads this entire conversation – exactly what you need on Augusta's lightning-fast greens – while his T55 debut here last year provides valuable course knowledge. At +7017, you're getting a red-hot player with the exact skill set that translates to major success. |
+7400 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024T55
2023NA
Win+7400
Top 5+1191
Top 10+526
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T6 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): MC • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): 6 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T8 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): 8 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T5 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T11
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.4%
Top 10 Probability
15.9%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.13
Course History-0.03
| |||
| 20 |
Patrick Cantlay
USA - OWGR #35
VALUE
|
Historically one of golf's most cerebral players, his game-management skills should shine on a course that punishes poor decisions more than most. The +0.56 SG Approach pairs nicely with decent recent form (T7 at Valspar), though his Augusta track record (T14, T22, T36) suggests he hasn't quite cracked the code yet. At +7563, the price reflects skepticism that might be overdone for a player with five PGA Tour wins and proven major championship experience. |
+7602 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T36
2024T22
2023T14
Win+7602
Top 5+1151
Top 10+493
Recent Form
Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T7 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T32 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): MC • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T37 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T14 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T13
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
17.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.04
Course History-0.05
| |||
| 21 |
Nicolai Hojgaard
USA - OWGR #36
VALUE
|
Runner-up finish at Houston two weeks ago signals peak form, while his +0.59 SG Approach ranks among the field's elite iron players. That T16 here in 2024 proves he can handle Augusta's unique demands, making the missed cut this year feel like an outlier rather than a trend. The +7784 price offers value on a player whose ball-striking precision perfectly matches what this course rewards. |
+7879 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T16
2023NA
Win+7879
Top 5+1218
Top 10+522
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): 2 • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T55 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T27 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T24 • Cognizant Classic (Feb 2026): T6 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T3 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T22
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
15.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.11
Course History+0.01
| |||
| 22 |
Chris Gotterup
USA - OWGR #11
VALUE
|
Already has two wins this season (Phoenix, Sony Open) and makes his Masters debut riding a wave of confidence that's hard to manufacture. The +0.55 SG off the tee provides crucial length advantage, while his +1.21 SG Total suggests he's playing at a genuinely elite level right now. First-time Masters participants often struggle, but at +8521, you're getting lottery ticket odds on a player with legitimate current form. |
+8176 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+8176
Top 5+1323
Top 10+581
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T6 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T56 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T18 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T37 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): 1 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T18 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): 1
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.2%
Top 10 Probability
14.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.12
Course History—
| |||
| 23 |
Justin Thomas
USA - OWGR #15
VALUE
|
The 2017 PGA Championship winner possesses the short game wizardry (+0.40 around the green) that can salvage rounds when Augusta gets tricky. His recent struggles here (two missed cuts in three years) create the value opportunity, as the market has clearly soured on his chances despite solid fundamentals. At +8646, you're betting on class and experience overcoming recent Augusta demons – exactly the type of contrarian play that pays off in majors. |
+8608 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T36
2024MC
2023MC
Win+8608
Top 5+1341
Top 10+588
Recent Form
Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T30 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T8 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.1%
Top 10 Probability
14.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.15
Course History-0.06
| |||
| 24 |
Viktor Hovland
USA - OWGR #22
VALUE
|
Elite approach play at +0.72 SG gives him the primary weapon needed for Augusta success, even if the overall game sits below his peak powers at +1.14 SG Total. His T7 finish here in 2023 demonstrates he understands how to navigate these greens and slopes when the iron play is dialed in. The +8459 odds feel inflated for a player whose best skill directly translates to Masters contention. |
+8950 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T21
2024MC
2023T7
Win+8950
Top 5+1319
Top 10+566
Recent Form
Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): MC • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T13 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T13 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T41 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T58 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T10
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.2%
Top 10 Probability
15.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+-0.00
Course History+0.04
| |||
| 25 |
Jacob Bridgeman
USA - OWGR #18
VALUE
|
Won at Riviera six weeks ago and backed it up with a T5 at Players—exactly the kind of form that translates to Augusta success for first-time qualifiers. His +0.68 SG Putting leads this entire longshot tier, while the +0.08 course fit adjustment suggests the model actually likes his game for these conditions. The +10018 price screams value for a player who's proven he belongs on golf's biggest stages. |
+9720 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+9720
Top 5+1439
Top 10+602
Recent Form
Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T14 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T5 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T18 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): 1 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T8 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T18 • American Express (Jan 2026): T13 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T4
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.0%
Top 10 Probability
13.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.08
Course History—
| |||
| 26 |
J.J. Spaun
USA - OWGR #5
VALUE
|
Coming off a victory at the Texas Open just days ago, but that win might be fool's gold given his brutal Augusta debut (50th last year). The approach game (+0.75 SG) ranks among the field's elite, yet the negative course fit adjustment (-0.029) suggests his methodical style doesn't match Augusta's demands. Hard to trust a recent winner at +10991, but the course history screams fade. |
+9950 |
Tournament History & Odds
202550
2024NA
2023NA
Win+9950
Top 5+1448
Top 10+611
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): 1 • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): MC • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T24 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): MC • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T45 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T40
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.9%
Top 10 Probability
13.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.03
Course History-0.01
| |||
| 27 |
Adam Scott
USA - OWGR #53
VALUE
|
The 2013 Masters champion's recent T11 at Bay Hill suggests his game is trending upward at the right moment, with +0.68 SG Approach providing the foundation Augusta demands. While the +9304 price reflects legitimate concerns about his putting (-0.08), that iron play can manufacture enough birdie chances to stay relevant through the weekend. His course knowledge remains elite even if the recent results (T22, T39) don't inspire confidence. |
+9967 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T22
2023T39
Win+9967
Top 5+1458
Top 10+611
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T21 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T56 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T11 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): 4 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T30 • American Express (Jan 2026): T24 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T40
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.1%
Top 10 Probability
14.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.05
Course History-0.04
| |||
| 28 |
Akshay Bhatia
USA - OWGR #21
VALUE
|
Fresh off a wire-to-wire win at Bay Hill, riding the kind of momentum that can carry young players to breakthrough major victories. The +0.38 SG Putting separates him from most longshots, and his T13 at Players shows he can handle big-stage pressure without wilting. At +9500, you're betting on lightning striking twice in a month for a player who's clearly found another gear. |
+9967 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T42
2024T35
2023NA
Win+9967
Top 5+1445
Top 10+609
Recent Form
THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T13 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): 1 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T16 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T6 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T3 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.0%
Top 10 Probability
14.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.04
Course History-0.02
| |||
| 29 |
Jason Day
USA - OWGR #41
VALUE
|
T8 finish here three weeks ago proves he can still contend at Augusta when everything clicks, backed by strong recent form including a T6 at Houston. The around-the-green wizardry (+0.34) that built his major championship pedigree remains intact, offering a realistic path to weekend relevance. Problem is the approach play sits at break-even, and you can't win majors anymore without elite iron work. |
+10482 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T8
2024T30
2023T39
Win+10482
Top 5+1572
Top 10+656
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T6 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T59 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): MC • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T24 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T38 • American Express (Jan 2026): T2
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.9%
Top 10 Probability
12.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.05
Course History+0.03
| |||
| 30 |
Harris English
USA - OWGR #20
VALUE
|
Third-best finish among this longshot group last year (T12), and the positive course history adjustment (+0.024) suggests Augusta genuinely suits his methodical approach. His putting (+0.49 SG) has been the difference-maker all season, covering up mediocre approach work that could get exposed on these greens. The T12-T22-T43 Augusta progression shows comfort, but the recent form (MC at Players) raises red flags about timing. |
+10595 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T12
2024T22
2023T43
Win+10595
Top 5+1536
Top 10+633
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T21 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): MC • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T24 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T22 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T24 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T28 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T22 • American Express (Jan 2026): T27
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.0%
Top 10 Probability
13.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.02
Course History+0.02
| |||
| 31 |
Sam Burns
USA - OWGR #33
VALUE
|
The SG numbers suggest steady, unspectacular play (+1.06 total) but that approach discipline could pay dividends on a course that punishes wild swings. Three straight made cuts here shows he's figured out Augusta to some degree, even if the results haven't been spectacular. Model gives him just 0.84% win odds, which feels about right at +11828 for a player whose ceiling appears capped by mediocre iron play. |
+11242 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T46
2024MC
2023T29
Win+11242
Top 5+1676
Top 10+714
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T21 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T13 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): MC • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T6 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T27
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
12.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.09
Course History-0.06
| |||
| 32 |
Brooks Koepka
USA - OWGR #169
VALUE
|
Five-time major champion with a runner-up here in 2023, but the current form screams fade despite the pedigree. Missed the cut three weeks ago and sits dead last in this field for OWGR ranking (#169), while his putting remains a disaster (-0.18 SG). The +11350 price reflects reality—this version of Koepka isn't winning anything, let alone the Masters. |
+11394 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T45
2023T2
Win+11394
Top 5+1784
Top 10+751
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): MC • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T18 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T13 • Cognizant Classic (Feb 2026): T9 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T56
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.9%
Top 10 Probability
11.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.03
Course History+0.12
| |||
| 33 |
Patrick Reed
USA - OWGR #23
VALUE
|
Bronze medal performance three weeks ago (3rd place) continues his Augusta love affair, where he's never finished worse than T12 in his last three appearances. The course history adjustment (+0.191) ranks among the field's strongest, suggesting this venue genuinely elevates his game beyond the numbers. Missing recent form data creates uncertainty, but his Augusta DNA at +11178 offers intriguing contrarian value. |
+12426 |
Tournament History & Odds
20253
2024T12
2023T4
Win+12426
Top 5+1642
Top 10+659
Recent Form
—
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.9%
Top 10 Probability
13.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.02
Course History+0.19
| |||
| 34 |
Shane Lowry
USA - OWGR #32
VALUE
|
T2 finish at Cognizant Classic signals the approach game (+0.66 SG) is sharp enough to contend anywhere when it's on. His 2019 Open Championship proved he can close majors under pressure, and the T16 here in 2023 shows Augusta doesn't intimidate him. The +12297 price reflects skepticism about his recent inconsistency, but major championship pedigree at this number offers decent lottery ticket value. |
+12887 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T42
2024T43
2023T16
Win+12887
Top 5+1823
Top 10+737
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T28 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): MC • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): MC • Cognizant Classic (Feb 2026): T2 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T24 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T8
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
12.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.02
Course History+0.00
| |||
| 35 |
Kurt Kitayama
USA - OWGR #34
VALUE
|
That T2 at Riviera showcased elite approach play (+0.7 SG) that should translate beautifully to Augusta's premium on precision iron shots. Course fit adjustment of +0.041 backs up the eye test, and his patient style feels built for major championship golf. Only knock is limited Augusta experience, but +14570 offers solid value on a player whose skill set screams contender. |
+14393 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024T35
2023MC
Win+14393
Top 5+1986
Top 10+844
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T60 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): MC • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T18 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T2 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T48 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T24 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T40
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.7%
Top 10 Probability
10.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.04
Course History-0.04
| |||
| 36 |
Sepp Straka
USA - OWGR #13
VALUE
|
Missed the cut here just weeks ago despite being the #13 player in the world, which perfectly encapsulates the Augusta mystery for this Austrian. T8 at Players and solid recent form suggests his game is tournament-ready, but the course fit adjustment (-0.026) hints at a stylistic mismatch. Hard to get excited about +13323 on a player whose best Augusta finish is T16. |
+14751 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T16
2023T46
Win+14751
Top 5+1940
Top 10+801
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): MC • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T8 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T13 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T50 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T2 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T18 • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.7%
Top 10 Probability
11.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.03
Course History+0.02
| |||
| 37 |
Ben Griffin
USA - OWGR #16
LONGSHOT
|
World #16 making his Masters debut with elite total strokes gained (1.06) that ranks among the best in this longshot tier, yet the model gives him nearly 10% top 10 odds. The complete absence of Augusta experience is the obvious red flag, but his well-rounded skill set and three straight missed cuts suggest he's either hitting peak form or falling apart. At +20239, you're betting on the former against a field that knows this course intimately. |
+15943 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+15943
Top 5+2306
Top 10+894
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T28 • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): MC • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): MC • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): MC • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T41 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T37 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T28 • American Express (Jan 2026): T24 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T19
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
9.9%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.06
Course History—
| |||
| 38 |
Marco Penge
USA - OWGR #37
LONGSHOT
|
Augusta rookie with massive driving distance (+0.81 SG Off Tee) who could exploit the course's length advantage over shorter hitters. T4 at Valspar proves he can score when conditions demand precision, and the course fit boost (+0.086) suggests his power-forward approach translates well to Georgia. Complete unknown quantity at Augusta makes +17704 a pure dart throw, but the physical tools are undeniable. |
+16897 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+16897
Top 5+2342
Top 10+947
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): T21 • Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): MC • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T4 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): MC • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T16 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T64 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
9.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.09
Course History—
| |||
| 39 |
Corey Conners
USA - OWGR #44
LONGSHOT
|
The model's course fit adjustment (-0.107) screams caution, but that T8 last year came from elite approach play that's still there (+0.59 SG). His ball-striking has been quietly consistent all spring with back-to-back T13s at THE PLAYERS and Valspar, and Augusta rewards precision iron players more than any track on tour. The +19967 price bakes in too much skepticism for a guy who's proven he can contend here when the irons are dialed. |
+17704 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T8
2024T38
2023MC
Win+17704
Top 5+2469
Top 10+969
Recent Form
Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T14 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T13 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T33 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T37 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T70 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T24
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
9.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.11
Course History+0.07
| |||
| 40 |
Ryan Gerard
USA - OWGR #29
LONGSHOT
|
Sony Open champion earlier this year with elite SG numbers (1.17 total) that rank among the strongest in this longshot tier. American Express runner-up and solid approach game (+0.72) suggest he's not intimidated by big moments or demanding courses. Never seen Augusta National before, which makes +18827 a complete mystery bet on pure skill over experience. |
+19069 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+19069
Top 5+2424
Top 10+951
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): MC • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T27 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): MC • Cognizant Classic (Feb 2026): T23 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T28 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T45 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T11 • American Express (Jan 2026): T2 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): 2
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
9.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.05
Course History—
| |||
| 41 |
Sam Stevens
USA - OWGR #45
LONGSHOT
|
Fresh off a T5 at Houston with consistent ball-striking (+1.07 SG Total) that's been building momentum through the spring. Power-accuracy combination (+0.58 off tee, +0.35 approach) fits Augusta's demands, though the complete lack of major championship pressure remains the biggest question mark. Model thinks he's slightly underpriced at +19193, but Augusta rookie status makes this pure speculation. |
+19444 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+19444
Top 5+2456
Top 10+950
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): 5 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): 58 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): MC • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T16 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T55 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T35 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T30 • American Express (Jan 2026): T6 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T31
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
9.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History—
| |||
| 42 |
Rasmus Hojgaard
USA - OWGR #57
LONGSHOT
|
Two solid Augusta showings (T32, T16) for a 23-year-old who's still figuring out major championship golf, plus the putter (+0.42 SG) has been his calling card all season. The course fit adjustment (+0.142) suggests his game translates well to these undulating greens, and that T9 at Cognizant Classic shows the form is there when everything clicks. Hard to see a win path at +20170, but the top 10 value looks legitimate given his Augusta comfort level. |
+20806 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T32
2024T16
2023NA
Win+20806
Top 5+2684
Top 10+1094
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T28 • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T68 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): MC • Puerto Rico Open (Mar 2026): MC • Cognizant Classic (Feb 2026): T9 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T24 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T30 • American Express (Jan 2026): T44
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
8.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.14
Course History+0.01
| |||
| 43 |
Cameron Smith
USA - OWGR #222
LONGSHOT
|
The 2022 Open champion's massive fall to #222 in the world rankings masks a short game wizard (+0.49 around green, +0.52 putting) who nearly won this thing with that T6 in 2024. His LIV Golf schedule means limited data, but Augusta's premium on creativity around the greens plays directly into his strengths. The +21405 price reflects ranking skepticism more than actual Masters ability for a guy who's proven he can contend at majors. |
+21878 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T6
2023T34
Win+21878
Top 5+2808
Top 10+1121
Recent Form
—
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
8.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.15
Course History+0.16
| |||
| 44 |
Harry Hall
USA - OWGR #62
LONGSHOT
|
Putting and short game wizard (+0.61 SG Putting, +0.39 around green) whose specialty skills could shine on Augusta's lightning-fast surfaces. T9 at Bay Hill and T6 at Sony show he can score when conditions get tricky, exactly what Augusta demands. Course fit boost (+0.132) is the highest in this group, making +18827 interesting despite the complete lack of major championship experience. |
+22288 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+22288
Top 5+2385
Top 10+931
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T28 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): MC • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T9 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T24 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): T24 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T6
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
9.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.13
Course History—
| |||
| 45 |
Tyrrell Hatton
USA - OWGR #31
LONGSHOT
|
Three consecutive Augusta appearances with solid finishes (T14, T9, T34) prove he understands this course, but that brutal course history adjustment (-0.208) suggests the model thinks those results were lucky. The LIV Golf move means limited recent data, and his famously volatile temperament could implode quickly on these pressure-packed greens. At +28336, you're betting on past Augusta success overriding current form questions and a significant model downgrade. |
+22889 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T14
2024T9
2023T34
Win+22889
Top 5+3142
Top 10+1223
Recent Form
—
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.3%
Top 10 Probability
7.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.04
Course History-0.21
| |||
| 46 |
Keegan Bradley
USA - OWGR #26
LONGSHOT
|
Consistent Augusta performer with three straight made cuts, but the ball-striking has been wildly inconsistent this spring with multiple missed cuts in premier events. The negative course history adjustment (-0.089) suggests his previous finishes here might be fluky, and recent form screams fade with that MC at Arnold Palmer followed by T55 at Valspar. At +22205, you're paying for name recognition on a player whose game doesn't match his reputation right now. |
+23156 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T22
2023T23
Win+23156
Top 5+3038
Top 10+1173
Recent Form
Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T55 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T50 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): MC • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T29 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T43 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
8.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.03
Course History-0.09
| |||
| 47 |
Alex Noren
USA - OWGR #19
LONGSHOT
|
The putting numbers (+0.47 SG) are elite and Augusta's slick greens reward confident putters, but his limited course history (one MC in 2023) makes this essentially a debut at age 42. Strong recent form includes that T12 at Riviera, and the well-rounded skill set (0.9 total SG) suggests he won't be overwhelmed by the moment. The +23066 price feels right for a player with the tools but zero Augusta pedigree to lean on. |
+24900 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023MC
Win+24900
Top 5+2847
Top 10+1073
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): T30 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T32 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T24 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T12 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T29 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
8.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.02
Course History-0.15
| |||
| 48 |
Kristoffer Reitan
USA - OWGR #46
LONGSHOT
|
Norwegian rookie with powerful driving distance (+0.59 SG Off Tee) but zero major championship experience and a concerning negative approach play number that spells trouble at Augusta. That recent T10 at Valero Texas Open shows he can contend on tough courses, but the model's 0.36% win probability reflects harsh reality about debut players here. The +27297 odds are probably still too generous for someone facing this steep a learning curve. |
+26806 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+26806
Top 5+3682
Top 10+1415
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): T10 • Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): MC • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): MC • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T66 • Cognizant Classic (Feb 2026): T17 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T41 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T30 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
6.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.02
Course History—
| |||
| 49 |
Gary Woodland
USA - OWGR #52
LONGSHOT
|
Coming off a win at Houston with strong ball-striking metrics (+0.45 OTT, +0.15 approach) that typically translate to Augusta National. The +33798 price reflects his 2024 missed cut, but that T14 finish in 2023 shows he can navigate these greens when the iron play is dialed in. Hard to see a legitimate win path given the brutal short game numbers, but this number feels inflated for a recent winner with decent Augusta history. |
+29457 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024MC
2023T14
Win+29457
Top 5+3879
Top 10+1438
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): 1 • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T14 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): MC • Cognizant Classic (Feb 2026): MC • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T64 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): MC • American Express (Jan 2026): 72 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.3%
Top 10 Probability
6.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.03
Course History-0.18
| |||
| 50 |
Nick Taylor
USA - OWGR #67
LONGSHOT
|
Solid approach play (+0.44 SG) and around-green work (+0.28) create the foundation for Augusta success, with consistent recent form showing eight straight cuts made. The T40 last year proves he belongs on this course, and the +33991 price offers decent upside for a player whose skill set matches Augusta's demands. Canadian grinder who doesn't blow up — exactly the type who can sneak into contention if the stars align. |
+32332 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T40
2024MC
2023NA
Win+32332
Top 5+3924
Top 10+1413
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Apr 2026): T28 • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): MC • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T42 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T38 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T28 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T24 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T28 • American Express (Jan 2026): T27 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T13
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.3%
Top 10 Probability
6.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History-0.03
| |||
| 51 |
Daniel Berger
USA - OWGR #38
LONGSHOT
|
Runner-up at Bay Hill with elite iron play (+0.62 approach) that should translate beautifully to Augusta's premium on precision. The course fit adjustment is concerning (-0.083), but that T21 last year shows he can handle the greens when healthy. At +35194, you're betting on the ball-striking carrying him despite mediocre putting — a reasonable gamble for a player with major championship pedigree. |
+33420 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T21
2024NA
2023NA
Win+33420
Top 5+3696
Top 10+1391
Recent Form
THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T66 • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): 2 • Cognizant Classic (Feb 2026): T32 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): MC • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T75 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T16 • American Express (Jan 2026): T56 • Sony Open (Jan 2026): T6
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.3%
Top 10 Probability
6.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.08
Course History-0.03
| |||
| 52 |
Sungjae Im
USA - OWGR #71
LONGSHOT
|
That T5 finish just last year combined with elite short game numbers (+0.41 around green) makes him a sneaky Augusta contender at +34383. The approach play has been shaky (-0.16 SG) but his course history adjustment is positive, suggesting he's figured something out about this place. Limited recent action hurts the confidence level, but when he's on, the scrambling ability keeps him in tournaments. |
+35194 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T5
2024MC
2023T16
Win+35194
Top 5+3964
Top 10+1454
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): T60 • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): T4 • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): MC • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.3%
Top 10 Probability
6.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.00
Course History+0.07
| |||
| 53 |
Ryan Fox
USA - OWGR #51
LONGSHOT
|
Kiwi bomber with strong course fit metrics (+0.112 adjustment) and solid Augusta history (T26, T38 in recent appearances) who's quietly playing consistent golf. That T7 at Riviera shows the iron play can get hot, and his well-rounded skill set (+0.39 total strokes gained) provides multiple paths to low scores. The +39900 price reflects his limited upside, but he's the type who could easily outplay his number. |
+39635 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024T38
2023T26
Win+39635
Top 5+4538
Top 10+1683
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): MC • Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard (Mar 2026): T24 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T7 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T24 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T24
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.2%
Top 10 Probability
5.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.11
Course History+0.03
| |||
| 54 |
Wyndham Clark
USA - OWGR #78
LONGSHOT
|
Former U.S. Open champion struggling to find form but carrying a positive course fit adjustment (+0.081) that suggests Augusta suits his power game. The recent missed cuts are alarming, but decent approach numbers (+0.33 SG) and a T46 last year show he's not completely lost. At +35614, you need everything to click perfectly, but the talent is undeniable when he's engaged. |
+40716 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T46
2024MC
2023NA
Win+40716
Top 5+4476
Top 10+1696
Recent Form
Texas Children's Houston Open (Mar 2026): MC • Valspar Championship (Mar 2026): MC • THE PLAYERS Championship (Mar 2026): T42 • The Genesis Invitational (Riviera) (Feb 2026): T41 • AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Feb 2026): T58 • WM Phoenix Open (Feb 2026): T35 • Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2026): T65 • American Express (Jan 2026): T13
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.3%
Top 10 Probability
5.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.08
Course History-0.04
| |||
| 55 |
Carlos Ortiz
USA - OWGR #161
LONGSHOT
|
Making his Augusta debut with impressive total strokes gained (+0.57) but zero course history to lean on. The approach play (+0.38 SG) and short game (+0.21 around green) numbers suggest he has the skills to handle Augusta's tests, but first-time Masters jitters are real. At +41858, it's purely a talent play on a player who's better than his ranking suggests. |
+41567 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+41567
Top 5+4923
Top 10+1794
Recent Form
—
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.2%
Top 10 Probability
5.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.05
Course History-0.04
| |||
Daily Matchups coming soon.