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// BETTING PREVIEW - SEPTEMBER 17-20
BMW PGA Championship
September 17-20, 2026 | Virginia Water, Surrey
Cosmos Research from Cosmos Golf — the same brand as Golf in the Cosmos. BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth Club West Course, Virginia Water, Sep 17–20.
Wear it this week: the Astronaut Golf Towel from Cosmos Golf / Golf in the Cosmos, Season One.
Total Purse
$9,000,000
Winner Share
$1,530,000
Course
Wentworth Club West Course
⛅ Tournament Weather Forecast
Expect partly cloudy skies with highs in the 69F range and moderate winds around 13 mph throughout the week. Some rain is possible, making for good scoring opportunities.
🌬️ Wind by Day — Morning & Afternoon
| Day | 8 AM | 12 PM |
|---|---|---|
| Thu | ↑ 10 mph SW G20 | ↑ 10 mph WSW G21 |
| Fri | ↑ 7 mph WSW G15 | ↑ 10 mph W G20 |
| Sat | ↑ 10 mph SW G21 | ↑ 12 mph WSW G23 |
| Sun | ↑ 10 mph WSW G19 | ↑ 13 mph WSW G25 |
🌊 Mornings play calmer (~9 vs ~11 mph) — a slight edge to AM-wave tee times.
🔒 Crew picks drop Wednesday night
Tommy Fleetwood is the model's all-around leader at Wentworth Club West Course, with +1.65 SG Total (3rd in the 144-player DP World field), a +0.251 course-fit adjustment inside the top five, and a 38.3% top-10 projection at +161. Rory McIlroy (+1.74 SG Total, 6.60% win probability) and Ludvig Aberg (field-best +1.84 SG Total) sit in the same outright cluster, though McIlroy's -0.140 course-fit mark is the softest among the contenders. Below that group, Aaron Rai's T2–T4–T3 Wentworth ledger and #2 course-fit (+0.386) is the clearest venue specialist, while defending champion Alex Noren is the repeat profile in the mid-board.
Fleetwood Is the All-Around Lead
Tommy Fleetwood posts +1.65 SG Total, +0.61 approach, +0.33 around the green, and a +0.251 course-fit adjustment that ranks inside the top five at Wentworth. The model gives him 6.78% to win and 38.3% for a top 10 at +1376 / +161, backed by a 6th (2023) and T12 (2024) at this event.
Tommy Fleetwood
McIlroy's Talent Meets a Fit Wrinkle
Rory McIlroy's +1.74 SG Total ranks 2nd in the field and the model projects a 6.60% win probability, with a T2 here in 2024 and T7 in 2023. A -0.140 course-fit adjustment is the softest mark in the contender group, so the 35.9% top-10 projection at +179 is the cleaner read than the outright.
Rory McIlroy
Aberg Owns the Raw SG Number
Ludvig Aberg's +1.84 SG Total leads all 144 players, headlined by +0.74 approach. Course fit is flat (-0.006) and Wentworth history is mixed (T20 in 2025, T10 in 2023). The model still gives him 6.15% to win and 34.3% for a top 10 at +1525 / +191.
Ludvig Aberg
Fitzpatrick's Local Top-Five Travels
Matt Fitzpatrick was T5 at this event in 2025 and carries +0.42 around the green and +0.45 putting into his home DP World flagship. Add a +0.112 course-fit bump and a 32.0% top-10 projection at +212 — the finishing-position markets match the profile.
Matt Fitzpatrick
Rai Is the Wentworth Specialist
Aaron Rai's West Course ledger is T2 (2023), T4 (2024), and T3 (2025), and his +0.386 course-fit adjustment ranks 2nd in the entire field. The model projects 21.2% for a top 10 at +372 with +0.47 SG Approach — the sharpest venue profile in the mid-board.
Aaron Rai
Lowry Arrives Off the Irish Win
Shane Lowry won the Irish Open last week and brings +1.18 SG Total and +0.67 approach into Wentworth, where he has T12 (2024) and T18 (2023). The model gives him 4.75% to win and 31.1% for a top 10 at +2007 / +222.
Shane Lowry
Hovland Stacks Top-Fives Here
Viktor Hovland has a T5 (2025) and a 5th (2023) at this event, plus a +0.158 course-fit adjustment and +0.68 SG Approach. Solo 2nd at the TOUR Championship is the form spike. Model: 4.71% to win and 30.4% top 10 at +2023 / +229.
Viktor Hovland
Noren Is the Defending Champion
Alex Noren won this DP World Tour flagship at Wentworth in 2025. The repeat case is a +0.177 course-fit bump and a 19.3% top-10 projection at +418 more than the 2.01% outright at +4879. Cadillac T7 is the recent PGA-side marker.
Alex Noren
Reed's Podium and Irish Runner-Up
Patrick Reed was T3 at Wentworth in 2025 and T2 at the Irish Open, with +0.59 SG Approach and +0.30 around the green. The model projects 20.2% for a top 10 at +394 — the finish markets, not the +4951 outright, are where the profile sits.
Patrick Reed
Fox's 2023 Title Is Cold Now
Ryan Fox won this event in 2023 and has since posted T61 (2024) and T46 (2025). A -0.187 course-fit mark and 0.57% win / 8.2% top-10 projections at +17444 / +1123 say the title is history, not a live profile.
Ryan Fox
📈 Biggest Climber · Wentworth Club West Course
Jordan Smith
2023 T72 → 2024 T18 → 2025 T24
▲48spots
🔥 Form Climbers · Last 3 Starts
Patrick Reed
Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo T55 → Omega European Masters T11 → Amgen Irish Open T2
▲53spots
Maximilian Steinlechner
Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo 67 → Omega European Masters T15 → Amgen Irish Open T14
▲53spots
Tommy Fleetwood
Hero Dubai Desert Classic T41 → Cadillac Championship T23 → TOUR Championship T11
▲30spots
Complete Betting Board
| # | Player | Why They Could Win | Win Odds Data Golf |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tommy Fleetwood
ENG - OWGR #8
CONTENDER
|
England's flagship starter at Wentworth Club West Course: +1.65 SG Total (#3 in the 144-man DP World field), +0.61 approach, +0.33 around the green, and a +0.251 course-fit adjustment inside the top five. The ledger is real — 6th in 2023, T12 in 2024, T46 last year — and the model leans finishing positions (6.78% win / 38.3% top 10 at +1376 / +161). Recent form includes T11 at the TOUR Championship. |
+1376 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T46
2024T12
20236
Win+1376
Top 5+318
Top 10+161
Recent Form
TOUR Championship (May 10): T11 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T23 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 25): T41 • Dubai Invitational (Jan 18): 25 • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 16): T3 • Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (Nov 9): 2 • DP World India Championship (Oct 19): 1 • Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (Oct 5): T21 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T46 • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): T10 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 19): T21 • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T14 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
6.8%
Top 10 Probability
38.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.25
Course History-0.09
| |||
| 2 |
Rory McIlroy
NIR - OWGR #2
CONTENDER
|
World #2 with +1.74 SG Total and +0.85 off the tee, plus a T2 here in 2024 and T7 in 2023. The wrinkle is a -0.140 course-fit mark — among the softest in the contender group — and last year's T20 wasn't a title run. Irish Open was a T41; the engine is still the ball-striking. Model: 6.60% to win and 35.9% for a top 10 at +1416 / +179. |
+1416 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T20
2024T2
2023T7
Win+1416
Top 5+339
Top 10+179
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T41 • TOUR Championship (May 10): T4 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 25): T33 • Dubai Invitational (Jan 18): T3 • Crown Australian Open (Dec 7): T14 • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 16): 2 • Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (Nov 9): T3 • DP World India Championship (Oct 19): T26 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T20 • Amgen Irish Open (Sep 7): 1 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 19): T4 • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T6 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): T7
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
6.6%
Top 10 Probability
35.9%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.14
Course History-0.07
| |||
| 3 |
Ludvig Aberg
SWE - OWGR #16
CONTENDER
|
Nobody posts a bigger raw SG Total: +1.84, headlined by +0.74 approach and +0.61 off the tee. Wentworth looks are mixed (T20 in 2025, T10 in 2023, no 2024 start) and course fit is essentially flat (-0.006), so this is pure talent carrying the number. Recent form includes T4 at the TOUR Championship and T3 at the DP World Tour Championship. Model: 6.15% to win and 34.3% top 10 at +1525 / +191. |
+1525 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T20
2024NA
2023T10
Win+1525
Top 5+364
Top 10+191
Recent Form
TOUR Championship (May 10): T4 • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 16): T3 • Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (Nov 9): T23 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T20 • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): T5 • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T55 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): T4 • RBC Canadian Open (Jun 23): T13 • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T16 • FedEx St. Jude Championship (Mar 10): T7 • U.S. Open (Mar 3): T17 • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday (Dec 10): 39 • Charles Schwab Challenge (Oct 15): T17
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
6.2%
Top 10 Probability
34.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History+0.02
| |||
| 4 |
Jon Rahm
ESP - OWGR #14
CONTENDER
|
Fourth here in 2023 and T13 in 2025, with +1.53 SG Total and +0.80 off the tee. LIV form has him stacked near the top of those boards (2nd at Indianapolis) without this being a LIV setup. Course fit is flat (-0.009). At +1538 to win with a 35.2% top-10 projection, the profile reads top-5 / top-10 more than a must-win outright (6.11% win probability). |
+1538 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T13
2024NA
20234
Win+1538
Top 5+355
Top 10+184
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T23 • Indianapolis (Aug 23): 2 • New York (Aug 9): T41 • United Kingdom (Jul 26): T23 • Andalucia (Jun 7): 2 • Korea (May 31): T16 • Virginia (May 10): T8 • Mexico City (Apr 19): 1 • South Africa (Mar 22): 2 • Singapore (Mar 15): 5 • Hong Kong (Mar 8): 1 • Adelaide (Feb 15): 2 • Riyadh (Feb 7): 2
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
6.1%
Top 10 Probability
35.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History+0.09
| |||
| 5 |
Matt Fitzpatrick
ENG - OWGR #4
CONTENDER
|
Sheffield local, T5 at this event in 2025, with +0.42 around the green and +0.45 putting — the short-game mix that has traveled on the West Course. Broader line is T35 in 2024 and T18 in 2023, plus a +0.112 course-fit bump. Form is quieter (T21 TOUR Championship, MC Valero). Model: 4.83% to win and 32.0% top 10 at +1968 / +212. |
+1968 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T5
2024T35
2023T18
Win+1968
Top 5+425
Top 10+212
Recent Form
TOUR Championship (May 10): T21 • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): MC • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): 4 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): T14 • RBC Canadian Open (Jun 23): 2 • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T28 • FedEx St. Jude Championship (Mar 10): T12 • U.S. Open (Mar 3): 22 • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday (Dec 10): T36 • Zurich Classic of New Orleans (Aug 6): 1 • The Sentry (Jul 2): T24 • Masters Tournament (May 14): T18 • Wyndham Championship (Apr 30): T8
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
4.8%
Top 10 Probability
32.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.11
Course History+0.00
| |||
| 6 |
Shane Lowry
IRL - OWGR #41
CONTENDER
|
Fresh off winning the Irish Open, Lowry brings +1.18 SG Total and +0.67 approach into a course he has played: T12 in 2024, T18 in 2023, T46 last year, with the field's friendliest course-history adjustment at +0.188. Model: 4.75% to win and 31.1% for a top 10 at +2007 / +222. The Irish win is the form sell; Wentworth itself has been solid rather than dominant. |
+2007 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T46
2024T12
2023T18
Win+2007
Top 5+436
Top 10+222
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): 1 • TOUR Championship (May 10): T13 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T23 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 25): T26 • Dubai Invitational (Jan 18): T3 • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 16): T11 • Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (Nov 9): T12 • DP World India Championship (Oct 19): T3 • Open de España presented by Madrid (Oct 12): MC • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T46 • Amgen Irish Open (Sep 7): T15 • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T22 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): T44
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
4.8%
Top 10 Probability
31.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.09
Course History+0.19
| |||
| 7 |
Viktor Hovland
NOR - OWGR #12
CONTENDER
|
Two top-fives at this event (T5 in 2025, 5th in 2023) plus a +0.158 course-fit adjustment and +0.68 SG Approach. Solo 2nd at the TOUR Championship is the loud recent result; Cadillac T38 is the volatility. When the irons show up he stacks finishes here. Model: 4.71% to win and 30.4% top 10 at +2023 / +229. |
+2023 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T5
2024NA
20235
Win+2023
Top 5+458
Top 10+229
Recent Form
TOUR Championship (May 10): 2 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T38 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 25): T14 • Nedbank Golf Challenge in honour of Gary Player (Dec 7): T23 • DP World India Championship (Oct 19): T6 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T5 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 19): MC • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): 1 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): MC • RBC Canadian Open (Jun 23): 3 • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T33 • FedEx St. Jude Championship (Mar 10): T19 • U.S. Open (Mar 3): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
4.7%
Top 10 Probability
30.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.16
Course History+0.01
| |||
| 8 |
Joaquin Niemann
CHI - OWGR #37
CONTENDER
|
Runner-up at the Irish Open with +0.81 SG Approach and +0.61 off the tee — the ball-striking sell. Wentworth is thinner: T20 in 2025, no 2024 or 2023 start, and a -0.040 course-fit mark. Model: 4.16% to win and 28.2% top 10 at +2302 / +255. Form is the case; this specific West Course fit is not. |
+2302 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T20
2024NA
2023NA
Win+2302
Top 5+496
Top 10+255
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T2 • Indianapolis (Aug 23): T17 • New York (Aug 9): 1 • United Kingdom (Jul 26): T28 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): T7 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): 3 • Andalucia (Jun 7): T24 • Korea (May 31): 1 • Virginia (May 10): T8 • Mexico City (Apr 19): T20 • South Africa (Mar 22): T12 • Singapore (Mar 15): 4 • Hong Kong (Mar 8): T41
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
4.2%
Top 10 Probability
28.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.04
Course History+-0.00
| |||
| 9 |
Ryan Gerard
USA - OWGR #21
CONTENDER
|
Solo 3rd at the TOUR Championship and +1.32 SG Total lead this value tier, with a balanced +0.50 OTT / +0.43 approach / +0.33 putting split and a +0.104 course-fit bump. Only one Wentworth look (T38 in 2025). Model: 2.67% to win and 22.4% top 10 at +3645 / +346 — finishing positions are the honest market. |
+3645 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T38
2024NA
2023NA
Win+3645
Top 5+726
Top 10+346
Recent Form
Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T30 • TOUR Championship (May 10): 3 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T30 • AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open (Dec 21): 2 • Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (Nov 9): T56 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T38 • Amgen Irish Open (Sep 7): MC • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): 2 • Bank of Utah Championship (Oct 13): T20 • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T44 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): T70 • John Deere Classic (May 5): MC • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T16
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.7%
Top 10 Probability
22.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.10
Course History-0.01
| |||
| 10 |
Robert MacIntyre
SCO - OWGR #19
CONTENDER
|
The putter is doing the heavy lifting at +0.45 SG Putting over a merely solid tee-to-green line (+0.20 OTT, +0.21 approach). Wentworth has been mixed: MC in 2025, T12 in 2024, T45 in 2023, and a -0.062 course-history adjustment. Recent form includes T2 at Valero. Model: 2.41% to win and 21.3% top 10 at +4049 / +371. |
+4049 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T12
2023T45
Win+4049
Top 5+773
Top 10+371
Recent Form
TOUR Championship (May 10): 28 • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): T2 • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T10 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): MC • RBC Canadian Open (Jun 23): T15 • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T7 • FedEx St. Jude Championship (Mar 10): WD • U.S. Open (Mar 3): T39 • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday (Dec 10): MC • Charles Schwab Challenge (Oct 15): T42 • Zurich Classic of New Orleans (Aug 6): T32 • The Sentry (Jul 2): T15 • Masters Tournament (May 14): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.4%
Top 10 Probability
21.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.03
Course History-0.06
| |||
| 11 |
Matt Wallace
ENG - OWGR #55
CONTENDER
|
European-swing form is the hook — T14 Irish Open, T9 European Masters — with +0.43 approach and +0.28 around the green. Wentworth finishes: T46 in 2025, T12 in 2024, T57 in 2023. OWGR #55 undersells a 20.8% top-10 projection at +381. Win equity is capped by +0.13 off the tee; 2.33% to win at +4183. |
+4183 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T46
2024T12
2023T57
Win+4183
Top 5+797
Top 10+381
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T14 • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T9 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T15 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): 2 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T23 • Qatar Masters (Feb 8): T20 • Sanderson Farms Championship (Feb 7): MC • Dubai Invitational (Jan 18): T7 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T46 • Omega European Masters (Aug 31): T2 • Betfred British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 24): T33 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 17): T64 • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): T2
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.3%
Top 10 Probability
20.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.03
Course History-0.05
| |||
| 12 |
Tom McKibbin
NIR - OWGR #116
CONTENDER
|
Actual West Course reps and they're good: T11 in 2025 and T10 in 2024 (T51 in 2023), stacked on a +0.093 course-fit bump and +0.47 SG Off the Tee. LIV form includes T6 New York and T12 Indianapolis. Model: 2.31% to win and 21.1% top 10 at +4220 / +374. Youth, driving, and two prior looks. |
+4220 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T11
2024T10
2023T51
Win+4220
Top 5+796
Top 10+374
Recent Form
Indianapolis (Aug 23): T12 • New York (Aug 9): T6 • United Kingdom (Jul 26): T20 • Andalucia (Jun 7): T21 • Korea (May 31): T23 • Virginia (May 10): T21 • Mexico City (Apr 19): T5 • South Africa (Mar 22): T24 • Singapore (Mar 15): T21 • Hong Kong (Mar 8): T24 • Adelaide (Feb 15): T44 • Riyadh (Feb 7): T17 • Michigan (Team Final—Stroke Play) (Aug 24): n/a
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.3%
Top 10 Probability
21.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.09
Course History+0.06
| |||
| 13 |
Aaron Rai
ENG - OWGR #18
CONTENDER
|
The Wentworth specialist: T2 in 2023, T4 in 2024, T3 in 2025, plus a +0.386 course-fit adjustment that ranks #2 in the entire field. Fairway-and-iron profile (+0.47 approach) is what this West Course punishes you for lacking. Abu Dhabi win is the recent DP World spike. Model: 2.28% to win and 21.2% top 10 at +4286 / +372. |
+4286 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T3
2024T4
2023T2
Win+4286
Top 5+792
Top 10+372
Recent Form
DP World Tour Championship (Nov 16): 41 • Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (Nov 9): 1 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T3 • Omega European Masters (Aug 31): MC • Betfred British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 24): T33 • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T30 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): 1 • RBC Canadian Open (Jun 23): MC • ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic (May 12): 5 • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T16 • FedEx St. Jude Championship (Mar 10): T63 • U.S. Open (Mar 3): T11 • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday (Dec 10): T19
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.3%
Top 10 Probability
21.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.39
Course History+0.03
| |||
| 14 |
Alex Fitzpatrick
ENG - OWGR #56
CONTENDER
|
T7 at the Irish Open and T4 at the TOUR Championship, with +0.94 SG Total and +0.41 / +0.43 tee-to-green. Wentworth reps are thin and ugly (MC in 2025, MC in 2024, T69 in 2023) even if course fit is a +0.133 nudge. Model: 2.21% to win and 20.3% top 10 at +4418 / +393. Form over venue until he posts a number here. |
+4418 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024MC
2023T69
Win+4418
Top 5+817
Top 10+393
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T7 • TOUR Championship (May 10): T4 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T9 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): 1 • Joburg Open (Mar 8): T6 • Investec South African Open Championship (Mar 1): T14 • Magical Kenya Open presented by absa (Feb 22): T23 • Qatar Masters (Feb 8): MC • Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship (Feb 1): T16 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 25): T19 • AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open (Dec 21): T37 • Crown Australian Open (Dec 7): T65 • BMW Australian PGA Championship (Nov 30): T19
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.2%
Top 10 Probability
20.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.13
Course History-0.06
| |||
| 15 |
Adam Scott
AUS - OWGR #52
CONTENDER
|
Elite tee-to-green for the tier — +0.50 OTT, +0.62 approach, +1.13 SG Total — with T4 Cadillac and T11 TOUR Championship. Short game is the concern (around-the-green and putting near zero) on a West Course that asks for it. History: T38 in 2025, T57 in 2024, T7 in 2023. Model: 2.13% to win and 19.1% top 10 at +4595 / +424. |
+4595 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T38
2024T57
2023T7
Win+4595
Top 5+895
Top 10+424
Recent Form
TOUR Championship (May 10): T11 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T4 • Crown Australian Open (Dec 7): 5 • BMW Australian PGA Championship (Nov 30): 7 • Genesis Championship (Oct 26): T30 • Japan Open Golf Championship (Oct 19): 11 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T38 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 19): T37 • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): 65 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): MC • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T16 • FedEx St. Jude Championship (Mar 10): T12 • U.S. Open (Mar 3): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.1%
Top 10 Probability
19.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.01
Course History+0.01
| |||
| 16 |
Alex Noren
SWE - OWGR #20
CONTENDER
|
Defending champion at Wentworth Club West Course — he won this DP World Tour flagship in 2025, with a T30 here in 2024. The repeat case is a +0.177 course-fit bump, +0.47 putting, and a 19.3% top-10 projection at +418 more than the 2.01% outright at +4879. Cadillac T7 is the recent PGA-side marker. OWGR #20. |
+4879 |
Tournament History & Odds
20251
2024T30
2023NA
Win+4879
Top 5+894
Top 10+418
Recent Form
Cadillac Championship (May 3): T7 • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 16): T16 • Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (Nov 9): T17 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): 1 • Omega European Masters (Aug 31): MC • Betfred British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 24): 1 • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): T30 • Bank of Utah Championship (Oct 13): MC • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T55 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): T26 • RBC Canadian Open (Jun 23): MC • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T37 • FedEx St. Jude Championship (Mar 10): T3
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.0%
Top 10 Probability
19.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.18
Course History+0.12
| |||
| 17 |
Patrick Reed
USA - OWGR #28
CONTENDER
|
T3 at this event in 2025 and T2 at the Irish Open, with +0.59 approach and +0.30 around the green. No 2024 start here. European form is the sell; the 2025 Wentworth podium is the course-history hook. Model: 1.98% to win and 20.2% top 10 at +4951 / +394. |
+4951 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T3
2024NA
2023NA
Win+4951
Top 5+862
Top 10+394
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T2 • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T11 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T55 • Nexo Championship (Aug 23): T30 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): MC • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): T45 • Joburg Open (Mar 8): T10 • Investec South African Open Championship (Mar 1): T29 • Qatar Masters (Feb 8): 1 • Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship (Feb 1): T2 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 25): 1 • Dubai Invitational (Jan 18): 26 • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 16): T28
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
2.0%
Top 10 Probability
20.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.00
Course History+0.16
| |||
| 18 |
Tyrrell Hatton
ENG - OWGR #25
VALUE
|
T2 here in 2023 and T5 in 2025 — real West Course pedigree — but the live form is a miss at the Irish Open and a -0.064 course-fit mark. +0.72 SG Total and OWGR #25 keep him in the conversation. Model: 1.75% to win and 16.8% top 10 at +5625 / +494. History over current form. |
+5625 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T5
2024NA
2023T2
Win+5625
Top 5+1043
Top 10+494
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): MC • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T46 • Indianapolis (Aug 23): T27 • New York (Aug 9): T36 • United Kingdom (Jul 26): 2 • Andalucia (Jun 7): 1 • Virginia (May 10): 17 • Mexico City (Apr 19): T5 • South Africa (Mar 22): T38 • Singapore (Mar 15): T10 • Hong Kong (Mar 8): T45 • Adelaide (Feb 15): T3 • Riyadh (Feb 7): 47
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.8%
Top 10 Probability
16.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.06
Course History+0.05
| |||
| 19 |
Jordan Smith
ENG - OWGR #77
VALUE
|
A +0.174 course-fit adjustment is one of the larger marks on the board, driven by +0.60 off the tee, with T24 in 2025 and T18 in 2024 (T72 in 2023). Recent form is thin (MC Irish Open, T55 Cadillac). Model: 1.59% to win and 16.5% top 10 at +6183 / +506. Fit and two prior starts, not a hot putter. |
+6183 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T24
2024T18
2023T72
Win+6183
Top 5+1086
Top 10+506
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): MC • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T55 • Nedbank Golf Challenge in honour of Gary Player (Dec 7): T21 • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 16): T20 • Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (Nov 9): T15 • DP World India Championship (Oct 19): T50 • Open de España presented by Madrid (Oct 12): T62 • Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (Oct 5): T5 • FedEx Open de France (Sep 21): WD • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T24 • Amgen Irish Open (Sep 7): MC • Omega European Masters (Aug 31): T17 • Betfred British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 24): T33
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.6%
Top 10 Probability
16.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.17
Course History-0.04
| |||
| 20 |
Justin Rose
ENG - OWGR #15
VALUE
|
OWGR #15 with +0.59 approach and +0.75 SG Total, but Wentworth hasn't paid him — T61 in 2025, T48 in 2024, T36 in 2023 — and recent form is middling (T18 TOUR Championship, T65 Cadillac). Model: 1.46% to win and 15.0% top 10 at +6773 / +567. Ball-striking without a venue number. |
+6773 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T61
2024T48
2023T36
Win+6773
Top 5+1209
Top 10+567
Recent Form
TOUR Championship (May 10): T18 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T65 • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 16): T14 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T61 • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): T47 • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T25 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): T10 • RBC Canadian Open (Jun 23): MC • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T22 • FedEx St. Jude Championship (Mar 10): T39 • U.S. Open (Mar 3): T11 • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday (Dec 10): T12 • Masters Tournament (May 14): T3
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.5%
Top 10 Probability
15.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.00
Course History-0.04
| |||
| 21 |
J.J. Spaun
USA - OWGR #17
VALUE
|
Best SG Total in this cluster at +1.04, +0.58 approach, +0.142 course fit, and a Valero title on the PGA side. Zero 2023–25 starts at Wentworth, so the transatlantic question is the cap. Model: 1.26% to win and 15.1% top 10 at +7816 / +560. Finish markets over the outright. |
+7816 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+7816
Top 5+1242
Top 10+560
Recent Form
TOUR Championship (May 10): T25 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T14 • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): 1 • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T7 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): MC • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T22 • FedEx St. Jude Championship (Mar 10): T34 • U.S. Open (Mar 3): MC • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday (Dec 10): T12 • Charles Schwab Challenge (Oct 15): T6 • Texas Children's Houston Open (Sep 24): MC • Masters Tournament (May 14): MC • RBC Heritage (Apr 23): T25
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
15.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.14
Course History—
| |||
| 22 |
Eugenio Chacarra
ESP - OWGR #58
VALUE
|
Respectable underlying SG (+0.85 total, +0.52 approach, +0.46 OTT) with almost no Wentworth file and a flat course-fit mark. Recent sample is thin (T9 Tulum, MC at the PGA). Model: 1.26% to win and 15.0% top 10 at +7868 / +567. Talent without a West Course look. |
+7868 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+7868
Top 5+1261
Top 10+567
Recent Form
Tulum Championship at PGA Riviera Maya (May 4): T9 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): MC • Genesis Scottish Open (Jul 10): T52 • The Open Championship (Jul 30): T46 • Puerto Rico Open (Mar 23): T21
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.3%
Top 10 Probability
15.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.00
Course History+0.03
| |||
| 23 |
Alex Smalley
USA - OWGR #46
VALUE
|
T2 at the PGA Championship is the résumé spike, backed by +0.91 SG Total and +0.55 approach plus a +0.096 course-fit nudge. No 2023–25 start here. Cadillac T7 and 27th at the TOUR Championship keep the PGA-side form live. Model: 1.12% to win and 13.2% top 10 at +8815 / +658. |
+8815 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+8815
Top 5+1455
Top 10+658
Recent Form
TOUR Championship (May 10): 27 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T7 • Sanderson Farms Championship (Feb 7): MC • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): T14 • Bank of Utah Championship (Oct 13): MC • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T47 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): T2 • RBC Canadian Open (Jun 23): T13 • ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic (May 12): T5 • John Deere Classic (May 5): MC • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T16 • FedEx St. Jude Championship (Mar 10): T24 • U.S. Open (Mar 3): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.1%
Top 10 Probability
13.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.10
Course History—
| |||
| 24 |
Daniel Hillier
NZL - OWGR #99
VALUE
|
Solo 2nd at the British Masters is the live result, flanked by T46 at the Irish Open and a T18 here in 2024 (T54 in 2025, WD in 2023). SG Total is a modest +0.37 and the short game is a problem (-0.32 around the green). Model: 1.06% to win and 12.6% top 10 at +9304 / +692. |
+9304 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T54
2024T18
2023WD
Win+9304
Top 5+1521
Top 10+692
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T46 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T2 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): MC • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): MC • KLM Open (Jun 7): T14 • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T7 • Soudal Open (May 24): MC • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): MC • Volvo China Open (Apr 26): MC • 105th New Zealand Open presented by Millbrook Resort (Mar 1): 1 • Qatar Masters (Feb 8): T20 • Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship (Feb 1): T4 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 25): T26
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.1%
Top 10 Probability
12.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.07
Course History+0.03
| |||
| 25 |
Ewen Ferguson
SCO - OWGR #180
VALUE
|
T5 at this event in 2025 and T18 in 2024, with a +0.184 course-fit bump. Live DP World form is actually functional (T9 Irish Open, T15 British Masters) even if OWGR is #180. Model: 1.06% to win and 13.4% top 10 at +9334 / +644. Prior West Course top-five is the hook at this price. |
+9334 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T5
2024T18
2023MC
Win+9334
Top 5+1473
Top 10+644
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T9 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T15 • Nexo Championship (Aug 23): T24 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): T9 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): MC • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): T19 • KLM Open (Jun 7): WD • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T17 • Soudal Open (May 24): MC • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): T25 • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): T4 • Volvo China Open (Apr 26): MC • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T6
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.1%
Top 10 Probability
13.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.18
Course History+0.02
| |||
| 26 |
Kristoffer Reitan
NOR - OWGR #33
VALUE
|
T24 at Wentworth in 2025 with +0.81 SG Total, +0.46 off the tee, and +0.21 putting. No 2024 start on file. PGA-side form includes 25th at the TOUR Championship and T14 Cadillac. Model: 0.99% to win and 11.2% top 10 at +10035 / +797. One prior look, real ball-striking. |
+10035 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T24
2024NA
2023NA
Win+10035
Top 5+1742
Top 10+797
Recent Form
TOUR Championship (May 10): 25 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T14 • Nedbank Golf Challenge in honour of Gary Player (Dec 7): 1 • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 16): T28 • Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (Nov 9): 22 • Open de España presented by Madrid (Oct 12): T30 • Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (Oct 5): T5 • FedEx Open de France (Sep 21): T5 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T24 • Amgen Irish Open (Sep 7): MC • Betfred British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 24): T46 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 17): T6 • Nexo Championship (Aug 10): T3
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
1.0%
Top 10 Probability
11.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.01
Course History+0.02
| |||
| 27 |
Bud Cauley
USA - OWGR #45
VALUE
|
No 2023–25 start at Wentworth. The PGA-side profile is quietly solid (+0.79 SG Total, +0.29 approach, +0.24 around the green) with T38 Cadillac and T21 Valero. Course fit is a small +0.049. Model: 0.85% to win and 10.6% top 10 at +11596 / +840. Debut profile, not a venue specialist. |
+11596 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024NA
2023NA
Win+11596
Top 5+1874
Top 10+840
Recent Form
Cadillac Championship (May 3): T38 • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): T21 • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T14 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): T26 • RBC Canadian Open (Jun 23): 1 • John Deere Classic (May 5): T33 • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T44 • FedEx St. Jude Championship (Mar 10): T12 • U.S. Open (Mar 3): T56 • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday (Dec 10): T22 • Charles Schwab Challenge (Oct 15): 3 • Zurich Classic of New Orleans (Aug 6): T28 • Wyndham Championship (Apr 30): T54
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
10.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.05
Course History—
| |||
| 28 |
Jacob Skov Olesen
DEN - OWGR #103
VALUE
|
T7 at the Irish Open and solo 2nd at the British Masters are a loud European-swing pair, with +0.35 putting carrying a modest +0.46 SG Total. Wentworth: T33 in 2023, MC in 2024, no 2025 finish on file. Model: 0.80% to win and 10.5% top 10 at +12322 / +848. Form first, venue second. |
+12322 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024MC
2023T33
Win+12322
Top 5+1937
Top 10+848
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T7 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T2 • Nexo Championship (Aug 23): T16 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): T9 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): MC • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): T41 • KLM Open (Jun 7): T55 • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T26 • Soudal Open (May 24): T2 • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): MC • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): T4 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T16 • Joburg Open (Mar 8): T36
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
10.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.04
Course History—
| |||
| 29 |
Oliver Lindell
FIN - OWGR #109
VALUE
|
T13 here in 2025 with the best approach number in this cluster (+0.61) even though driving is a drag (-0.22 OTT). Irish Open T55 and British Masters T15 are the recent DP World line. Model: 0.80% to win and 11.0% top 10 at +12400 / +809. The 2025 top-15 is the Wentworth hook. |
+12400 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T13
2024NA
2023NA
Win+12400
Top 5+1851
Top 10+809
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T55 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T15 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): T2 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): T13 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): T6 • KLM Open (Jun 7): 2 • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T47 • Soudal Open (May 24): T30 • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): T10 • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): T43 • Volvo China Open (Apr 26): T33 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T13 • Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO (Mar 22): T14
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
11.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.03
Course History+0.04
| |||
| 30 |
Victor Perez
FRA - OWGR #165
VALUE
|
T48 in 2024 and MC in 2023 at this event, with +0.56 SG Total and +0.34 off the tee. LIV-side form is mid-pack (T22 New York, T23 United Kingdom). Model: 0.77% to win and 10.1% top 10 at +12831 / +887. Enough ball-striking to hold a finish-market ticket, not an outright. |
+12831 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024T48
2023MC
Win+12831
Top 5+2019
Top 10+887
Recent Form
New York (Aug 9): T22 • United Kingdom (Jul 26): T23 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): T9 • Andalucia (Jun 7): T16 • Korea (May 31): T23 • Soudal Open (May 24): T2 • Virginia (May 10): 11 • Mexico City (Apr 19): T17 • South Africa (Mar 22): T12 • Singapore (Mar 15): T35 • Hong Kong (Mar 8): T16 • Adelaide (Feb 15): T27 • Sanderson Farms Championship (Feb 7): T11
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
10.1%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.06
Course History+0.02
| |||
| 31 |
Laurie Canter
ENG - OWGR #150
VALUE
|
T46 here in 2025 with a +0.100 course-fit bump and +0.34 approach, but putting is a hole (-0.31). LIV form includes T5 at Indianapolis; Irish Open was an MC. Model: 0.76% to win and 10.4% top 10 at +13029 / +857. One West Course start, mixed live form. |
+13029 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T46
2024NA
2023NA
Win+13029
Top 5+1960
Top 10+857
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): MC • Indianapolis (Aug 23): T5 • New York (Aug 9): T11 • United Kingdom (Jul 26): T7 • Andalucia (Jun 7): T37 • Korea (May 31): T12 • Virginia (May 10): T46 • Mexico City (Apr 19): T25 • South Africa (Mar 22): T17 • Singapore (Mar 15): T42 • Hong Kong (Mar 8): T31 • Adelaide (Feb 15): 53 • Riyadh (Feb 7): T37
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.8%
Top 10 Probability
10.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.10
Course History+0.07
| |||
| 32 |
Bernd Wiesberger
AUT - OWGR #141
VALUE
|
T4 at the European Masters and 22nd at the Irish Open are the form spike, with a +0.182 course-fit mark that likes Wentworth even after MCs here in 2025 and 2024. SG Total is only +0.11. Model: 0.72% to win and 10.2% top 10 at +13853 / +876. Fit and form, not a three-year venue number. |
+13853 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024MC
2023NA
Win+13853
Top 5+2060
Top 10+876
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): 22 • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T4 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T37 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): T39 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): 3 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): MC • KLM Open (Jun 7): T21 • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T4 • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): T13 • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): T13 • Volvo China Open (Apr 26): 1 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): MC • Joburg Open (Mar 8): T12
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.7%
Top 10 Probability
10.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.18
Course History-0.03
| |||
| 33 |
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
DEN - OWGR #76
VALUE
|
4th at the Irish Open is the live flag, with a T20 at Wentworth in 2025 and a +0.094 course-fit bump. SG Total is a modest +0.28 and the European Masters was an MC. Model: 0.71% to win and 9.4% top 10 at +13886 / +959. One good week in Ireland plus one prior West Course look. |
+13886 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T20
2024NA
2023NA
Win+13886
Top 5+2206
Top 10+959
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): 4 • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): MC • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): MC • BMW International Open (Jul 5): 56 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 25): T45 • Dubai Invitational (Jan 18): 19 • Crown Australian Open (Dec 7): 1 • BMW Australian PGA Championship (Nov 30): MC • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 16): T3 • Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (Nov 9): T23 • Genesis Championship (Oct 26): T65 • Open de España presented by Madrid (Oct 12): T5 • Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (Oct 5): T50
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.7%
Top 10 Probability
9.4%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.09
Course History+0.01
| |||
| 34 |
Sepp Straka
AUT - OWGR #35
LONGSHOT
|
T10 here in 2023 and T38 in 2024, OWGR #35, but current SG Total is only +0.14 and the Irish Open was a T63. Course fit is a small +0.093. Model: 0.65% to win and 8.7% top 10 at +15324 / +1045. Old Wentworth top-10 more than a hot profile. |
+15324 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024T38
2023T10
Win+15324
Top 5+2409
Top 10+1045
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T63 • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T12 • TOUR Championship (May 10): 30 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T4 • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): MC • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): 72 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): MC • BMW Championship (Apr 7): T33 • FedEx St. Jude Championship (Mar 10): T34 • U.S. Open (Mar 3): MC • the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday (Dec 10): T40 • Zurich Classic of New Orleans (Aug 6): T12 • The Sentry (Jul 2): T15
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.7%
Top 10 Probability
8.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.09
Course History+0.03
| |||
| 35 |
Brooks Koepka
USA - OWGR #124
LONGSHOT
|
MC at this event in 2025, a -0.097 course-fit mark, and putting that's underwater (-0.18). Irish Open T55 and T15 at the Dunhill are the recent line. +0.42 SG Total and +0.38 OTT keep a flicker of tee-to-green respect. Model: 0.65% to win and 8.6% top 10 at +15324 / +1064. |
+15324 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024NA
2023NA
Win+15324
Top 5+2367
Top 10+1064
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T55 • Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (Oct 5): T15 • FedEx Open de France (Sep 21): 4 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): MC • Amgen Irish Open (Sep 7): MC • Michigan (Team Final—Stroke Play) (Aug 24): n/a • Indianapolis (Aug 17): 50 • Chicago (Aug 10): T29 • United Kingdom (Jul 27): T47 • Andalucia (Jul 13): T32 • Virginia (Jun 8): T33 • Korea (May 4): T17 • Mexico City (Apr 27): T30
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.7%
Top 10 Probability
8.6%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.10
Course History-0.12
| |||
| 36 |
Antoine Rozner
FRA - OWGR #238
LONGSHOT
|
T7 at Wentworth in 2024 is the venue hook, then T31 in 2025 and an MC in 2023. Live form is quieter (MC Irish Open, T15 European Masters) and putting is a drag (-0.19). Model: 0.64% to win and 9.2% top 10 at +15566 / +989. That 2024 top-10 is why he is still on the card. |
+15566 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T31
2024T7
2023MC
Win+15566
Top 5+2317
Top 10+989
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): MC • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T15 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T21 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): T13 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): T60 • KLM Open (Jun 7): T55 • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T26 • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): T17 • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): T29 • Volvo China Open (Apr 26): T8 • Joburg Open (Mar 8): MC • Investec South African Open Championship (Mar 1): T24 • Magical Kenya Open presented by absa (Feb 22): T14
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
9.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.06
Course History+0.03
| |||
| 37 |
Angel Ayora
ESP - OWGR #121
LONGSHOT
|
T4 at the European Masters is the form spike after an MC in Ireland. Only one Wentworth look (T54 in 2025) and a -0.137 course-fit mark work against him. +0.45 SG Total and +0.33 approach keep the ball-striking honest. Model: 0.60% to win and 8.7% top 10 at +16707 / +1053. |
+16707 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T54
2024NA
2023NA
Win+16707
Top 5+2470
Top 10+1053
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): MC • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T4 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T46 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): T46 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): MC • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): 5 • KLM Open (Jun 7): T3 • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): MC • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): T18 • Volvo China Open (Apr 26): T33 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T11 • Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO (Mar 22): T28 • Joburg Open (Mar 8): T18
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
8.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.14
Course History-0.02
| |||
| 38 |
Thomas Detry
BEL - OWGR #88
LONGSHOT
|
Three straight starts here (T46 in 2025, T30 in 2024, T33 in 2023) and the putter is actually good (+0.43), but approach is negative (-0.06) and course fit is -0.063. Irish Open MC, European Masters T30. Model: 0.59% to win and 8.7% top 10 at +16754 / +1047. |
+16754 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T46
2024T30
2023T33
Win+16754
Top 5+2461
Top 10+1047
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): MC • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T30 • Indianapolis (Aug 23): T10 • New York (Aug 9): T17 • United Kingdom (Jul 26): T31 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): MC • Andalucia (Jun 7): T5 • Korea (May 31): T41 • Soudal Open (May 24): T53 • Virginia (May 10): T6 • Mexico City (Apr 19): T5 • South Africa (Mar 22): T3 • Singapore (Mar 15): T15
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
8.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.06
Course History+0.02
| |||
| 39 |
Nicolai Hojgaard
DEN - OWGR #43
LONGSHOT
|
The worst course-fit mark in this cluster (-0.253) with MC / 65th / T64 across 2025–23 at Wentworth. Recent DP World line is two MCs (Irish Open, European Masters). +0.48 SG Total is the talent residue. Model: 0.58% to win and 8.0% top 10 at +17043 / +1155. Fade the venue until the fit flips. |
+17043 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
202465
2023T64
Win+17043
Top 5+2678
Top 10+1155
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): MC • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): MC • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T23 • Sanderson Farms Championship (Feb 7): MC • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 25): T4 • Dubai Invitational (Jan 18): T52 • DP World Tour Championship (Nov 16): T11 • Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (Nov 9): T3 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): MC • Omega European Masters (Aug 31): MC • Betfred British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 24): T2 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 17): T34 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 19): T65
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
8.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.25
Course History-0.09
| |||
| 40 |
Ryan Fox
NZL - OWGR #24
LONGSHOT
|
The 2023 winner at Wentworth birdied the last to take this title, then posted T61 in 2024 and T46 in 2025. Current projection is 0.57% to win and 8.2% top 10 at +17444 / +1123, with a -0.187 course-fit mark and quiet PGA-side form (26th TOUR Championship, T30 Cadillac). History, not heat. |
+17444 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T46
2024T61
20231
Win+17444
Top 5+2710
Top 10+1123
Recent Form
TOUR Championship (May 10): 26 • Cadillac Championship (May 3): T30 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 25): T45 • Dubai Invitational (Jan 18): T27 • Crown Australian Open (Dec 7): T14 • BMW Australian PGA Championship (Nov 30): T39 • FedEx Open de France (Sep 21): T14 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): T46 • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): MC • Ras Al Khaimah Championship (Jan 26): T27 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 19): T10 • Travelers Championship (Jul 28): T66 • PGA Championship (Jul 14): T35
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
8.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.19
Course History+0.04
| |||
| 41 |
Casey Jarvis
RSA - OWGR #69
LONGSHOT
|
T38 here in 2025 with a +0.118 course-fit bump and +0.26 off the tee. Short game is a hole (-0.16 around, -0.16 putting) and the Irish Open was an MC. Model: 0.57% to win and 8.0% top 10 at +17547 / +1153. One prior start, modest projection. |
+17547 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T38
2024NA
2023NA
Win+17547
Top 5+2690
Top 10+1153
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): MC • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T30 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): MC • Nexo Championship (Aug 23): MC • BMW International Open (Jul 5): T38 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): MC • KLM Open (Jun 7): MC • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): MC • Soudal Open (May 24): T22 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T13 • Joburg Open (Mar 8): T2 • Investec South African Open Championship (Mar 1): 1 • Magical Kenya Open presented by absa (Feb 22): 1
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.6%
Top 10 Probability
8.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.12
Course History+0.04
| |||
| 42 |
Francesco Laporta
ITA - OWGR #222
LONGSHOT
|
T4 at the European Masters and T23 at the Irish Open are a real DP World pair, plus T24 at Wentworth in 2025 and a +0.142 course-fit / +0.105 course-history bump. SG Total is slightly negative (-0.06). Model: 0.51% to win and 7.9% top 10 at +19381 / +1174. Form and a prior top-25 here. |
+19381 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T24
2024NA
2023NA
Win+19381
Top 5+2835
Top 10+1174
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T23 • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T4 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): MC • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): T53 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): MC • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T40 • Soudal Open (May 24): T17 • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): MC • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): MC • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): MC • Joburg Open (Mar 8): MC • Investec South African Open Championship (Mar 1): T2 • Magical Kenya Open presented by absa (Feb 22): 4
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
7.9%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.14
Course History+0.10
| |||
| 43 |
Kazuma Kobori
NZL - OWGR #188
LONGSHOT
|
Field-best course-fit adjustment at +0.397, which is the entire case — SG Total is -0.07 and the only Wentworth start is T46 in 2025. Live form is actually fine (T14 Irish Open, T9 British Masters). Model: 0.51% to win and 8.5% top 10 at +19508 / +1073. Fit without the underlying SG. |
+19508 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T46
2024NA
2023NA
Win+19508
Top 5+2630
Top 10+1073
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T14 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T9 • Nexo Championship (Aug 23): MC • BMW International Open (Jul 5): MC • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): T19 • KLM Open (Jun 7): T28 • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): MC • Soudal Open (May 24): MC • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): T6 • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): T13 • Volvo China Open (Apr 26): T58 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T50 • Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO (Mar 22): T34
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.5%
Top 10 Probability
8.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.40
Course History+0.00
| |||
| 44 |
Matthew Jordan
ENG - OWGR #219
LONGSHOT
|
MC in 2025, MC in 2024, T51 in 2023 at this event, and putting is a problem (-0.34). Irish Open MC, British Masters T26. SG Total only +0.14. Model: 0.43% to win and 6.9% top 10 at +23156 / +1347. Not a West Course profile yet. |
+23156 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024MC
2023T51
Win+23156
Top 5+3231
Top 10+1347
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): MC • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T26 • Nexo Championship (Aug 23): 2 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): T2 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): T38 • KLM Open (Jun 7): MC • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T40 • Soudal Open (May 24): MC • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): T43 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T29 • Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO (Mar 22): T28 • Investec South African Open Championship (Mar 1): T20 • Magical Kenya Open presented by absa (Feb 22): 7
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
6.9%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.00
Course History-0.00
| |||
| 45 |
Thorbjorn Olesen
DEN - OWGR #168
LONGSHOT
|
T33 here in 2023, MC in 2024, no 2025 start, with a -0.067 course-fit mark and essentially zero SG Total. British Masters T9 is the one live spark after an Irish Open MC. Model: 0.41% to win and 6.2% top 10 at +24390 / +1501. |
+24390 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025NA
2024MC
2023T33
Win+24390
Top 5+3637
Top 10+1501
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): MC • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T9 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): T39 • Sanderson Farms Championship (Feb 7): T14 • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 25): T10 • Dubai Invitational (Jan 18): T7 • Nedbank Golf Challenge in honour of Gary Player (Dec 7): T28 • Open de España presented by Madrid (Oct 12): T9 • Amgen Irish Open (Sep 7): T20 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 17): T16 • Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): T49 • Bapco Energies Bahrain Championship (Feb 2): MC • Ras Al Khaimah Championship (Jan 26): T27
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
6.2%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.07
Course History-0.08
| |||
| 46 |
Andy Sullivan
ENG - OWGR #128
LONGSHOT
|
T18 at Wentworth in 2024 is the one useful look (MC in 2025, T36 in 2023), but SG Total is -0.22 and the British Masters was an MC. Irish Open T36. A +0.090 course-fit bump is the only mild positive. Model: 0.41% to win and 6.8% top 10 at +24390 / +1360. |
+24390 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T18
2023T36
Win+24390
Top 5+3320
Top 10+1360
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T36 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): MC • Nexo Championship (Aug 23): 3 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): MC • BMW International Open (Jul 5): T45 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): T25 • KLM Open (Jun 7): MC • Soudal Open (May 24): T47 • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): 79 • Volvo China Open (Apr 26): MC • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T3 • Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO (Mar 22): T9 • Joburg Open (Mar 8): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
6.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.09
Course History+0.03
| |||
| 47 |
Dan Bradbury
ENG - OWGR #184
LONGSHOT
|
Three starts here without a top-30 (T31 in 2025, T35 in 2024, T51 in 2023) even with a +0.168 course-fit bump. Short game is brutal (-0.31 around, -0.43 putting) and recent DP World is two MCs. Model: 0.37% to win and 5.7% top 10 at +27173 / +1654. |
+27173 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T31
2024T35
2023T51
Win+27173
Top 5+3946
Top 10+1654
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): MC • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): MC • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): MC • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): T33 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): MC • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): T41 • KLM Open (Jun 7): 65 • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): T6 • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): MC • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T59 • Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO (Mar 22): T17 • Joburg Open (Mar 8): 1 • Investec South African Open Championship (Mar 1): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
5.7%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.17
Course History+0.08
| |||
| 48 |
Jayden Schaper
RSA - OWGR #93
LONGSHOT
|
MC here in 2025 and 2024, with majors MCs at the PGA and U.S. Open. A +0.211 course-fit number is the one flag; SG Total is only +0.11 and approach is -0.19. Model: 0.36% to win and 6.5% top 10 at +27807 / +1447. Fit without a made cut at Wentworth. |
+27807 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024MC
2023NA
Win+27807
Top 5+3431
Top 10+1447
Recent Form
PGA Championship (Jul 14): MC • U.S. Open (Mar 3): MC • Genesis Scottish Open (Jul 10): MC • The Open Championship (Jul 30): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
6.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.21
Course History-0.05
| |||
| 49 |
Angel Hidalgo
ESP - OWGR #308
LONGSHOT
|
T4 at the European Masters is the form spark after T55 in Ireland. Wentworth has been ordinary (T46 in 2025, T57 in 2024, MC in 2023) even with a +0.178 course-fit bump. SG Total is -0.39. Model: 0.36% to win and 6.0% top 10 at +28069 / +1578. |
+28069 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T46
2024T57
2023MC
Win+28069
Top 5+3862
Top 10+1578
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T55 • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T4 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T21 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): MC • BMW International Open (Jul 5): MC • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): T19 • KLM Open (Jun 7): T21 • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): MC • Soudal Open (May 24): MC • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): T64 • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): 52 • Volvo China Open (Apr 26): T19 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.4%
Top 10 Probability
6.0%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.18
Course History+0.00
| |||
| 50 |
Francesco Molinari
ITA - OWGR #250
LONGSHOT
|
A +0.207 course-fit mark likes the West Course more than his results do (MC in 2025, WD in 2024, MC in 2023) and putting is a hole (-0.39). Irish Open 68th. Model: 0.35% to win and 5.8% top 10 at +28336 / +1631. Fit without a made cut here in three years. |
+28336 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024WD
2023MC
Win+28336
Top 5+4011
Top 10+1631
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): 68 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): MC • KLM Open (Jun 7): T32 • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): MC • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): MC • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T6 • Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO (Mar 22): T34 • Sanderson Farms Championship (Feb 7): MC • Hero Dubai Desert Classic (Jan 25): T4 • Dubai Invitational (Jan 18): T47 • Nedbank Golf Challenge in honour of Gary Player (Dec 7): T10 • BMW PGA Championship (Sep 14): MC • Amgen Irish Open (Sep 7): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.3%
Top 10 Probability
5.8%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.21
Course History+0.04
| |||
| 51 |
Joe Dean
ENG - OWGR #147
LONGSHOT
|
Won the British Masters last month — that's the live DP World flag — but Wentworth has been MC in 2025 and T48 in 2024, with SG Total at 0.00. Irish Open T41. Model: 0.33% to win and 5.9% top 10 at +30203 / +1603. Form spike, not a venue profile. |
+30203 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T48
2023NA
Win+30203
Top 5+3925
Top 10+1603
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T41 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): 1 • Nexo Championship (Aug 23): T24 • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): T39 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): T9 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): MC • KLM Open (Jun 7): T3 • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T12 • Soudal Open (May 24): T47 • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): T64 • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): T61 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T34 • Joburg Open (Mar 8): T62
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.3%
Top 10 Probability
5.9%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.01
Course History-0.04
| |||
| 52 |
Dan Brown
ENG - OWGR #135
LONGSHOT
|
+0.39 approach is a real iron number in this cluster, plus a +0.125 course-fit bump, but he has MC / MC / T51 across 2025–23 at Wentworth and the short game is underwater. PGA Championship T75, Valero MC. Model: 0.32% to win and 5.5% top 10 at +30988 / +1707. |
+30988 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024MC
2023T51
Win+30988
Top 5+4202
Top 10+1707
Recent Form
Valero Texas Open (Mar 9): MC • PGA Championship (Jul 14): T75 • RBC Canadian Open (Jun 23): MC • ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic (May 12): MC • Charles Schwab Challenge (Oct 15): MC • Texas Children's Houston Open (Sep 24): MC • THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson (Aug 13): T47 • Zurich Classic of New Orleans (Aug 6): T13 • Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches (Mar 19): T40 • Sony Open in Hawaii (Oct 9): T19 • Farmers Insurance Open (Sep 4): T30 • WM Phoenix Open (Jul 31): MC • Genesis Scottish Open (Jul 10): MC
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.3%
Top 10 Probability
5.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj+0.12
Course History-0.06
| |||
| 53 |
Calum Hill
SCO - OWGR #154
LONGSHOT
|
The putter is the one weapon (+0.29) after T31 at the Irish Open, but Wentworth has been MC in 2025, MC in 2024, T51 in 2023 and tee-to-green is negative. Model: 0.31% to win and 5.3% top 10 at +32509 / +1774. Need a made cut here before the putter matters. |
+32509 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024MC
2023T51
Win+32509
Top 5+4485
Top 10+1774
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T31 • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T30 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): MC • Danish Golf Championship (Aug 16): T67 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): T30 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): T19 • KLM Open (Jun 7): T14 • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T17 • Soudal Open (May 24): T59 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T6 • Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO (Mar 22): T45 • Joburg Open (Mar 8): MC • Investec South African Open Championship (Mar 1): T20
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.3%
Top 10 Probability
5.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.05
Course History-0.03
| |||
| 54 |
Tom Vaillant
FRA - OWGR #328
LONGSHOT
|
T31 at Wentworth in 2025 is the only start on file. SG Total is -0.13 and both tee-to-green numbers are negative. Irish Open T46, European Masters T18. Model: 0.30% to win and 5.3% top 10 at +33049 / +1777. One prior look, no underlying SG. |
+33049 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025T31
2024NA
2023NA
Win+33049
Top 5+4391
Top 10+1777
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T46 • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T18 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T21 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): MC • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): T55 • KLM Open (Jun 7): MC • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T26 • Soudal Open (May 24): T13 • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): T31 • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): MC • Volvo China Open (Apr 26): T6 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T50 • Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO (Mar 22): T34
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.3%
Top 10 Probability
5.3%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.03
Course History+0.04
| |||
| 55 |
Ugo Coussaud
FRA - OWGR #225
LONGSHOT
|
T7 at this event in 2024 is a real West Course number, then an MC in 2025. Live form includes T11 at the Irish Open. SG Total is -0.04 and course fit is a -0.138 drag. Model: 0.30% to win and 5.5% top 10 at +33420 / +1717. That 2024 top-10 is the only reason he clears this cut of the board. |
+33420 |
Tournament History & Odds
2025MC
2024T7
2023NA
Win+33420
Top 5+4267
Top 10+1717
Recent Form
Amgen Irish Open (Sep 13): T11 • Omega European Masters (Sep 6): T57 • Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo (Aug 30): T30 • BMW International Open (Jul 5): T30 • DS Automobiles 83° Open d’Italia (Jun 28): MC • Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol (May 31): T17 • Soudal Open (May 24): MC • Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship (May 10): T25 • Turkish Airlines Open (May 3): T9 • Hero Indian Open (Mar 29): T3 • Hainan Classic presented by MAEXTRO (Mar 22): T17 • Joburg Open (Mar 8): MC • Investec South African Open Championship (Mar 1): T73
Strokes Gained (2025-26 PGA TOUR Season)
Model Predictions
Win Probability
0.3%
Top 10 Probability
5.5%
Course Fit
Skill Fit Adj-0.14
Course History+0.09
| |||
Who writes this preview? Cosmos Research is the weekly tournament desk of Cosmos Golf, the same brand as the Golf in the Cosmos podcast.
Where is the merch? Season One is on golfinthecosmos.com. This week’s pick is the Astronaut Golf Towel.